nazio - bayern edition
>Musiala>Süle right back>Boateng>SaneI really hope none of you bet on Bayern.
Bayern with no bench. Sule at right back Nazis with Reina in goal Could we see a goalfest?
over 3.5 in Nazio vs Bauern?
Le Giroud goal will arrive. @3,55
makes sense for you to support lazioyou are ROMA after all
bet 100 on Nazio
+0.5 Bristol @1,6 validated
For me?AtleticoBayerncheeky double @5.2easy money lads
>>106292652I have this feeling this is not going to end very good for Lazio. And with not very good, I mean they will at least concede 5 goals.
>>106292991Lmao, should have pick Bristol SW
>>106292873I love how the english show Rio Ferdinand around, like he is some kind of football legend. lmao
>Tuchel is coaching ChelseaSorry Pathletico, Chelsea needs to eliminate PSG again.
>>1062927733+ is 1.50 ... What a jokeSule at RB might be a big problem for their attacks. Muller is out, Gnabry is out, so Musiala it is, who is a decent player but his opponent will be Milinkovic-Savic, who is much stronger than him. >>106292755 Sane is class, but Boateng against Correa/Immobile ? Immobile to score as froggo said @2.45 might be a good shout, he takes the pen too but probably shouldn't bet on goalscorers. I can see Milinkovic scoring a header. Probably 2+ first half @2.15 I will take for starters. Bayern has no bench, but Reina in the other end. Coman can take players out, Sane can take players out. And lewa up front? I see everyone and their mum on every forum and TV show is on Lazio 1X , but to bet against Bayern? First 11 is decent, then javi Martinez comes in and they're fucked. I can't decide any other than goals, as TT said. If this isn't an over i dunno what is. For me 2+ first half @2.15 and then live bets
Squads for the game
>>106293487my bookie has bayern score 1 in 1st half @1,9 (boosted odds) i fear a trap
>>106293229Why do you think so ? Fuck it, I also took 2+ 3+ Lazio2+ 3+ 4+ BayernCause I also predicted a 2-4 . and I think it can happen. ....
>>106293611Take it, wtf.
>>106293487Bayern is weak. I'd be suprised if they do well tonight.
>>firstname.lastname@example.org in minejust fucking take it
>>106293769I did, almost took the no goals first half @3,3 too
was tempted by no goals first half chelsea athletico @2,17, did not take
>>106293487>Sane is classHe's a disaster
GOALALL BAYARNJust 3 left for the joosy @6 hitThis is ucl they need as much goals as possible
Bayern always delivers against shitters in the KO stages
>>106294198You remember the Arsenal games well, it seems
>did not put more on the boosted oddsVGH
disgusting bayern goal
>>106294236you Benficas, your Romas, your Besiktas, your Lazios ...
>>106293611KekkkkkkI would've taken goals both halves but its pathetic @1.2 odds at betfair
bros should i keep itor atletico is too risky
>btts @2,2 in chelsea gamebros ?
I hope you bros were trolling when you said you'd bet on Nazio
>some 17 year old nobody is scoring nowmaybe frankfurt is actually the strongest team on earth..
CAM ON BAYARN JUST TWO MORE KEK
Based Bayern free 1.85
Placed 25£ on atm chelski draw, b365 gave me another £25 for in play. Anything interesting I could use it on?
Is there really nothing better than Reina available as GK
For fucks sake every goal is Lazio screwing up in an amazingly stupid manner.
goall thanks for the free money
Bayern took them by surprise. Second half could be different. I need 2 goals by the Nazis. A mistake I've made is thinking Bayern has no bench. They don't need it.These guys have unlimited stamina. Probably they'll put Hernandez and Roca, and Jumbo-Moting. But if they put Javi Martinez, it's over, they're not gonna be able to take another shot on target, mark my f words. You put an 80 year old man in, 0 shots on target follows. I expect Lazio to score too. Matter of fact just took them now at @1.8 . Lazio has no bench either, but a goal or 2 should get
>>106295410>>106290863S T A T E M E N T winShould've done what radu Romanian factory lad does and placed one at over 4.5 bayern goals @12.00
Immobile keeps getting the ball 7-10m from goal and it doesnt look like taking a shot is even on his mind.
>>106295410Not me thou , it's the other gypsoid (I only wrote this cause I know you think it's your boy, but it isn't) Dude if nazis don't score I'm fucked, and then this >>106293741 ... Is how to break even, the postI'm retarded
Draw HT / Chelsea FT @3,6 looking good
>>106295535Are you on Bayern 4+ by any chance you crazy mf ?
>>106295644>Not me thou:(Bayern love to concede so maybe, 2 will be toughi was thinking of taking 2-1 3-1 or 4-1 but it was only @3,6personally i only took the boosted odds and not much on it, at least it's won.
>>106295705Nah... Only on bayern 3.5o @6, bayern 4.5o @12 didn't take it but was thinking about itCan you suggest me Chelsea in play?
>>1062958454+ for me is over 3.5 ; is not over 4 . it's how me bookie has it and I got used to it. >Atletico - ChelseaI watched it a few minutes, has a nice intensity. I dunno... take Chelsea to score if you want >muh minimum service. Game is played in Bucharest so no home advantage. And I already predicted Chelsea would qf, so I dunno. Your call. Literally a coin toss, but they're getting in the box and a penalty could occur??
>>106296045Bayarn M paid out, now thinking of playing athletico for juicy odds
>BTTS and +3.5GGREENthanks nazis
CAM ON CHELSEA
Payout is 85 if Madrid wins, 75 If draw. Fak off chelsi
Only bet 40 bucks on the Bayern win, fuck
For me, it's Atalanta. Their attack is confident and can you really trust Madrid to outscore them without benzema?
>>106295649covered it with a no goal, please no athletico goal
>>106296045Oh no no... I tried to fade you but all your predictions are on point today
>>106292652OH NO NONO
this general seems to be the most schizo one on /sp/ how do you guys know what anyone else is talking about
>>106297608all me with various vpn
I’m reposting my picks for the day. I have a system of scouring the internet at work in the mornings that has been doing well lately. I combine analytics with expert prognosis and cappers picks. If the stars align I make the picks. And here they are:Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trailblazers Over 235.5 (-110) 1.1 unitsNew York Knicks 1st Q +1/2 (-115) 1unitSacramento 1st Q ML (+135) .5 unitToronto 1st Q +1/2 (-115) 1 unitDenver 1St Q -2 (-115) .5 unitIf anyone tails let me know, it’d make my night if you won :)
Shouldn't have covered at 55', still positive and bookie bonus securedShould have been more confident on bayern and giroud, immobile didn't score thoughno 4-2 for romrom, sad!
>won against atletico>couldn't win against southamptonfuck you chelseaalso remind me to never bet on pathletico, fucking losers
why are real underdogs?
>>106298064it's written frenTuchel will punish PSG for their insolence.
>>1062982096 millions woundedaway gameChadalanta@3 is tempting desu
>played small for bayern over 3.5, remembering Radus words>played large for draw with chelski/atm>didn't listen to Radus good insight that Chelsea is better in play>no profitSearch for football W continues
any basket tips ?
>>106298398See my post earlier>>106297682
>>106298460>scouring the internet at workBased, following blindly the pick @>2
>>106297682tailing everything.you also mentioned New Jersey Devils ML last thread, is it off?
Okay nba spread anon and nhl anon, time for you to come through
>>106298398Magicians ML and MBucks u237@3
Fucking ATLETICO La liga teams are a meme this seasonAtalanta will obliterate Real
>>106298638w-what if real want to show what liga truly is and exterminate chadalanta
>>106298535I'm staying away from hockey for a while. It's the same teams playing each other for like the 5th time this year so any predictions are just impossible at this point.
>>106298638>Juventus>Milan>LazioAre you sure that Seria is better?
>>106298535Didn’t get to watch the spread all day for movement only have seen warriors go from -2.5 to -3.5 I’ll take knicks +3.5; magic -3.5 to -4.5 got in with magic at -3.5; clippers -12.5 now 11.5 taking wizards +12.5 before the shift also bet wizards ML good value bet. Celtics -2.5 don’t like that line taking the point total over 224.5; nuggets -6.5 taking blazers +6.5; nets -6.5 taking nets -6.5 they just swept the western conf on a week long road trip; hawks -7.5 taking hawks -7.5 cavs blow ass; 76ers -2.5 taking raptors +2.5; wiz ML blazers ML and knicks ML have value 0.4u-.5u; throw together some doubles a treble and fourfold from my single stake selections.
>>106298975Its not but Real has 9 injuries
>>106298209>>106298665>>106298970One thing about Real is they are not bums. They miss a lot of players, but still can lineup a competitive 11. This will probably be itCourtois; Lucas Vasquez, Varane, Nacho, Mendy; Modric, Casemiro, Kroos; Asensio, Mariano, Vinicius Or maybe he starts with Isco. Thing is, I said this game should be avoided, but I'll give my opinion. Do you think Atalanta can steamroll this 11 ? Not a rethorical question. How do you see this game playing? Cause Real has a world class GK, world class midfield, Asensio and Vinicius can take out players. And Mariano was a beast at Lyon. And it's their competition. And Atalanta? Fuck that team. Still my boys for that 0-2 against klopp's reserves, but other than that they disappointed a lot of times. Who knows, maybe they win tomorrow cause they're playing at home and could out grind real and get in front or sth, but even so crippled, I think real is a wounded dog that can still bite, still has better individual quality, and it's still CL, so maybe a free pen? This game can go either way, but personally I definetly wouldn't bet against real
>>106299011Maybe I'm being pessimistic raptors guy again but I disagree with the raps pick. They managed to survive by doubling Embiid and rotating like crazy to get out to shooters. Nurse's gimmick defenses don't usually work 2 nights in a row. Embiid will be prepared to make quicker decisions and the role players should be prepared to step up tonight. I'd take Sixers -2.5 and I like Embiid over 4.5 assists @3.3.
>>106299450I was going to omit 76ers game very tough line I never rate the raptors so I have no logical answer just the vibrations I felt.
Dude, and about City. I think Vel telling you to bet on City cause they will win, is right. Borussia Mohabak(as one of my buddies wrote it) I still remember them for that 3-2 against Bayern, so they're a typical high-scoring team, who also conceides a lot. And City has a video on YouTube, why Man City doesn't conceide. Cause they're having the ball and when the opposition goes on counter they got good defenders to stop the attacks: Stones, and Ruben Dias. Pep is supposedly one of the first guys to play the CDM between the central defenders, thus playing with 3 at the back. That is Fernandinho. So the fullbacks , Cancelo RB , and Zinchenko LB can attack. If you see these guys tomorrow, go all in on City. Up front, doesn't really matter. They're all good. If you get to play for City, you're good. The only player I don't like cause he's a piece of wood is Benjamin Mendy. So hope it's Zinchenko.I'm writing this prediction now cause I got free WiFi at work, tomorrow I'll be banned, courtesy of the jannitors. Poop is a massive chocker in CL, and if he decides to improvise sth tomorrow he will ruin us, but if he sticks to the plan, coming on 17,18? winning streaks should fuck up m'gladbach tomorrow. Cause who the fuck plays there , Plea? Who was supposedly a shitter in ligue 1 for ligue 1 standards. Difference in quality for City. I think tomorrow they will secure qualification, and really come at 100%. ThusCity oversTo score 3+ @1.99To score 4+ @3.92I'm out. Cheezzz
>>106299824Btts gladbach surprises big teams often. Gladbak over 1.5 ill play that too
>>106299850Alright, I mean I think the odds reflect reality. But city doesn't conceide, so I don't think gladbach gets too, but check this outCity to score 3+ in first half Odds 9To score 2 in first half @2.98Second half city 2, 3 . @2.33 @6.13What if they start strong? What if it ends in a blowout? Then you would want to be on City scoring 3 in each half, right? Again, I'm not a bookie. Would a bookie recommend the most in form team in Europe at the moment to score 3 in each half at odds 9, and 6, against a lesser opposition who comes from bundesliga? I dunno, you tell me . did I mentioned the game is on neutral ground. And city owes us some overs.The other one, I think I convinced myself to bet on real x2 @1.68 Of course, gonna wait for the lineups first
>>106300058I'm thinking of doing city double result @1.85. Nothing spectacular but they generally get an early goal and protect the lead. Obviously in CL there's incentive to go for more goals but it's probably safer to just take this at almost even odds, maybe parlay with over 1 goal in the other CL game and call it a day.
>>106300058Hmm, this is the UCL so your crazy goals theory can work here, even me a skeptic of it played the bavaria game and knew it was a surebet. Gladbach H2h with city scored every game except once (out of 4 games), once they scored 2. This is gladbaks first ever ro16 i believe in modern ucl. They were close to winning a very tough group (fake Madrid , Waxtep, Inter) so they'll give poop and his fatigued boys some issues as gladbach slept easily and didn't need to travel unlike Citizens
Will start betting mostly singles, and less frequent.I believe impatience in waiting for good betting objects leads to betting on garbage.
>>106300192>>106300221Maybe should just play it safe City to win @1.33They play on neutral ground, in Hungary. Fuck statistics from 4 years ago, dawg. It's another team. I think city is capable to score 3, question is if they will go for it ? That's my question mark. Whether poop will fuck us up . the scenario I imagine is city coming very strong to secure the qf , and gladbach to be unable to deal with their game. And if the pipe breaks, city can score the 3rd, the 4th, the 5th, the 6th.... Not even joking. They are capable
>>106299450Yeah didn’t put much thought into it today but I like philly wire to wire @$3.40. They usually start well and get run down so if they win it should be the whole game.I also like Daniel Theis 10 points or more against Dallas, Dallas suck inside.And I’m i sucker for punishment so I am on Terrance Ross 25+/magic win @$8.50
>>106300340They are capable yea. I think gladbak know they need 1 goal. They will be very motivated after good performances In their group. Let's not forget poop doesn't know how to win CUPs, he is a machine for leagues. It's not straightforward as bayern raping nazio is all I'm saying
>>106300254>singles>less frequent >patience>no garbageYep, that's the recipe.Anyways norbro, what are your thoughts for tomorrow?
>>106300445Yes, yes, that's what I say. Poop chocked every CL. the Tottenham game (first leg, when he lost 1-0) . and Lyon. But now I think they want to win CL, cause the league is in the bag, and to win CL, yoi need to advance, and if you need to advance you should get a first right step, that is tomorrow on puskas arena, first leg, should want to get an away goal, thus minimum service, but I think they could get much more if they get the first goal and gladbach panicks. I might be wrong and gladbach plays a very good game, but these are my thoughts: I think they won't be at the same level, and a trashing is likely
>>106300474Well I was thinking Atalanta, but I also thuoght Lazio or Draw, so who knows what kind of mistakes Atalanta might do to gift away the win.Maybe its just better to bet over 1.5 goals for some of these CL and Europa league games, or not touch them at all.I was interested in QPR or email@example.com
>>106300254This is absolutely the case. I've lost gains in the past that would make you cringe because of impatience.
Fucking Magicians, rusty af. Detroit pissers can't keep leads but damn do Disney World XI looks tired
cavs and pistons both winning. just fuck my shit up senpai
>>106297682Bookies at it again, lads
So my new sort of diciplined betting strategy will be.No more than 3 sinigles bets per week.10-20% of roll per single.2 game acca permissible if at least one is btts or over/under goals.
if the pistons loose this game im officially cursed
>>106301964They won't, they suck but magic has been awful all game. Fournier just finished and mentally cooked. Shite night, bucks are frauding again
>>106302015lol ngl wasnt aware that the pistons are last place in the eastern conference but betted on them because i know magic are inconsistent
>>106302121They are bad but not as bad as hawks or cavs. Nba is fucking annoying to bet on, the odds are extremely shit and bookies destroy any good odds for proper teams like phoenix moons or MBucks. The issue is the divas play when they want to. Usually they want to play more after getting cucked big time the game before (like heat blowing 15pts to lal, took it out on next opponents) and Pissers lost 20pt lead half time to ChiBu, i don't know why I betted on Magicians but it was parlayed with Mfucks u236 which is dead now anyway
>>106297682Kek, i checked reddit and you bamboozled so many redditors. Not that mad now
CAM ON KNICKS YOU CAN DO IT
Are the wizzes worth a bet against the clippers here? Sweet Lou is sitting which is a good thing.Might ride the Westbrook train for it
>>106302370NBA is odd it really feels like the distribution of freethrows from the refs and only the last 2 quarters matter. But i feel like the more you mix bets from different sports /leauges in your parlay the more likely you are to make the right bet. Just dont put to many NBA games in it
>>106302679Wawiz are hot af now, beating many teams. I think they'll abit too tired for another top dog opponent. Vegas probably expects more money on wawiz especially after 4q comeback against LaL >>106302692Yea it's shit.i bet on it just because it kinda makes the game interesting. Went with 100% broll on random tennis shitters, it worked before should work again. Koo ml v some Thai jew and Ebden ML v YukiPick one, or parlay it like me for @2. Fukkit esketit
>>106302794They should be too tired but Westbrook can’t help himselfWestbrook triple double let’s go
>incelticsWas hoping Luka would miss that shot so we could hit the over in overtime but whatever
theres no way Wizards would lose this game by 17+ rights? with Kawhi and his meme resting shit
>>106303599They should be too gassed to play for the win, as for covering by +17 it's still risky, clips will try to get sit on a huge lead in 3q come fourth quarter
Blackburn vs WatfordWatford @2.30Easy value bet. Watford is inform winning their last three games. They're currently sitting at third tied for second, winning vs Blackburn puts them right into the promotion zone for the Prem so they have much motivating them.Blackburn on the other hand are in terrible form losing their last four games, and sitting mid table at this point in the season gives them little to play for.Thank me later.
>>106303932yeah Ive got all my shit into +22 and +20hope they dont shit the bed in 4th quarter
>>106304579Westbrick gassed in the 4th quarter
>>106304674Yeah their rotation is too short
>>106302794The chink Koon or whatever his name won vs kwostkowaski, koon sucked cock all game, I hope atleast one you caught him at good odds @2 or @2.5Now just need ebden to win, 100% broll looks like will be coming back to me again. Ebden should blow this Indian fucker out
>>106305091good prick broany other obscure tennis match to bet on
>late night /bet/What's the hot tip, fellows
>>106300546>Poop chocked every CLAnd he will this year too, and we will laugh at him again. But it is not vs gladbach. City will win today and qualify easily. City to win @1.35 is free money. Win + over 1.5g @1.45 free money too for I dont see just a 1-0 for city.The question is how farther will they push this beyond winning. That its neutral ground is even better for gladback will lack the comfort of their stadium. We are seeing this round the uneven matches go into blowouts (PSG Bayern 4-1) because the stronger team with 4 away goals wants to solve quali immediately and not need the 2nd game. This is great for those who took the juicy away odds but makes the 2nd leg unbettable for that game will be a shitshow.City likes their 1-0 every league round but here its wise to take at least a 2 away goal advantage so City -1 @1.75 is a rare case of a good handicap bet. Likely a 2-0 or 3-1 for city. Because its CL and the game circumstances adventurous bets like city 3g @1.90/1H 2g @2.10/1H 2g for city @2.90/City -2 @3.00 are also quite possible and good for meme bets. My meme bet today though is tott not winning @3.70
alright fuck it.I'm already down $600 this month so if City mess this up I'm out for good.
Thinking about betting my whole bank roll on man city, talk me out of it
City to win and Real Draw no betthread theme https://youtu.be/woEcdqqbEVg?t=184
>>106305557Yea but don't go 100% broll like I that me the other time.J sinner ml v bedeneKontinen/vassslein ml v hurkac / walkowLow odds, maybe in play bet is good idea also
>>106307276Bayern is a far less dominant team than Manchester City.
>>106306497Just slip Tottenham innit
Atalanta are now favorites according to the bookies. (((They))) are making moves, not betting on this shit.
>>106307847Bayern has strong mind Flick who in one season already embarrassed Poop. Poops league tactics don't work in ucl, in Cup you need speed and heavy metal ball, you don't have 40 games you have 180mins at best to come up with something. I expect poop to be rattled
Man city 2+ first half goals @$3.30 hereFollow me to the promised land.
>>106307276>>106306497I have ManCIty in my parlay for some reason im scared but maybe the prematurely announcement that the gladbach couch will be in bvb next season will fuck shit up because last two games looked bad
>>106307469J sinner is now at @1.44, up from @1.2He should win this unless he gets injured.
>>106309327Sinner the faggot blew his low back, he is dead. In tie breaks also, small mind small body Kontinen/vassslein ml @1.3 v hurkac / walkow and Humbert @1.2 should still hit if they don't die. The odds are super shit so maybe wait for in play
Playing these as singles and that will be my action until next midweek.
>>106307276>then looses to Koln and Mainz kek>City is on a winning streak and on the 1st place in Premier League>this is not Gladbach's home stadium>Marcus Thuram might miss this oneThis looks lile a City win 99.99%
>>106310035some frog would have won 40000e if sinner won (with a 5e bet)
Some player of Atalanta died, will it boost /ourguys/ ?
>>106311594Yea it's abit unlucky innit. He steam rolled the first set, then got tweaked, couldn't do shite. Caught umbert at @8, now its at @2, fucking wild, umbert is one of the top players and he's just sloppy on this surface. The other one kontient rogier whatever they're called assed atleast
Walsall-Newport County BTTS
>>106310035>placed in play 10£@8.0 Humbert to win>later placed 10£ @3.75 Grispoor to winWhen will bookie ban me for this?
Took Atalanta x Manchester -1 @4,11
>>106297682This was me. I apologize... I was on a heater with some Reddit shit and got smoked. Holy fuck I can only laugh, I wish I was a bookie agent then at least I’d be good at something. Lads.... I-I’m sorry. :(But you know what fuck it I’m picking again with 5 units and this time I’ll post my bets with proof. I will redeem you Jew bro
>>106312847I wasn't confident in the Sacramento pick, but damn, 42-28
Atalanta to advance @ 2.45Monchesharten +2 @ 2.06
>>106306497Why didn't you take City - 1 asian handicap for better odds?
fuck why everyone betting on atalanta... shit should i cash out ?
>>106313469bookie didn't have -1 at that time, only -1.25 and so forth.and desu I don't want to risk it any more than that, even with this shit odds I'll be content as long as they win.
>>106313873Nah, i'm also tempted by real, maybe a livebet
>>106313873Check out RM bench...
Fuck it. I'm betting on elche 2nd halfI will never back barchoke again
Varane will either do great or fuck up again
>Gladbach XI: Sommer, Elvedi, Zakaria, Ginter, Lainer, Neuhaus, Kramer, Hofmann, Bensebaini, Plea, Stindl>Man City XI: Ederson, Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo, Gundogan, Rodri, Foden, Sterling, Jesus, Silva
3,50 odds for kdb to score, why is the bookie pushing this?
>>106313905>>106314005real madrid is missing some key players but still played good in the last two matches i guess thats my hope
>you'll never play your first game of CL as a starter and hear the anthem
Currently (at least on Stake), Cardiff is available @3.05 to beat Middlesbrough the coming weekend.
>unless Atalanta does something to gift the win away>dont put a bet>atalanta red card
>0-0 20'IT'S OVER
Played BMG MC to score 2 goals each kek and a goal scored first half kek @9
took draw ht away win in both game @7,X
Reminder that no successful gambler posts on 4chan.
i swear at this point nobody can convince me that zidane is not a fraud lmao this fucking useless retard wtf was he coaching in the halftime
Excellent, just need bmg to score two goals now
A late QPR goal would be wonderful
what were the odds of 0-0 ?
lmfao the absolute geschtalt of real madrid
>>106315626ugh, to think i almost took city to nil instead of draw ht but i feared the germans that often score
@3 Madrid pre game, too good to be true
NHL picks for today:Flyers MLAvalanche ML@3Rangers missing their best forward in Panarin. They really struggle to score without him and Philadelphia has a solid defense as well.Colorado is looking to rebound from a loss, I like them in this spot as they're clearly the more talented team.I also like the Leafs tonight but I'm waiting for lineups to confirm. If lineups are the same as last game it's a stay away. If Muzzin, Hyman, and Thornton are back I'd bet the Leafs.
>>106318432Looks like Hyman is back, but no Muzzin. Also starting the backup goalie again so I'm staying away from the Leafs.
Today nba:New bankroll, new hope3u (75£)on Packers ML v GSW and Jizz Lal o215. 5 for @2.96Eskeeetit
Sabonis was a clear snub for nba all star game. Highly likely he comes out with a statement game today against golden state, I imagine the pacers will use this disrespect as motivation today so they should win also. I am on sabonis 30+($4.50) 35+($13) and 25+/Indiana win ($3.75)
>>106318731Lots of good player props today. Sabonis is a good one. Booker has been red hot and he was snubbed as well. You could try Booker 30+ and Suns win. Then there's KAT. New head coach has said he wants to build a new offense around him, expect him to get his numbers today. I'm not sure how I would go about betting this but KAT 30+ and Twolves win would probably have some crazy odds and I think it's definitely possible with a new head coach to give the team some life.
>>106318879Hmmm good one KAT is a sneaky one I like it.
Any thoughts on PSV &/or Napoli to qualify at home?Individually both @3.5 Napoli home form very strong, 2-0 behind Granada.PSV also 2 goals down but it was 4-2 against Olympiakos
Watched nba spreads little today, been on a real heater today w footy helped make up for an abysmal 3:9 against the spread last night. Pacers went from -1.5 to -2.5 taking pacers -2.5; celtics went from -3.5 to -1.5 taking celtics -1.5; rockets moved from -2.5 to -4.5 taking rockets -4.5 over cavs; pelicans -9.5 taking Detroit +9.5; thunder line moved -2.5 to -1.5 taking thunder -1.5; heat line moved -3.5 to -2.5 taking raptors -2.5; bulls line moved -3.5 to -4.5 taking wolves +4.5; suns line moved -9.5 to -10.5 back to -9.5 taking hornets +9.5; jazz -8.5 taking jazz -8.5;
>>106318879KAT 30+/Booker 35+/Sabonis 25+ multi @$29.23Booker 40+ @$12KAT 25+/wolves win @$4.20Have all been added.Let’s go you Ballhogs!
>>106319014Any doubles or triples you feel good about? None of these spreads jump out at me.
Might go MARGE on Arsenal @1.87Benfica is under a lot of pressure from their fans and the Portuguese press. Despite the squad investment, team has been playing like garbage against farmer teams like Famalicão, Farense or MoreirenseSomething seems to be off with coach Jorge Jesus. Players might be in mutiny mode.
>>106319400I always pick doubles and parlays out of my single stakes; tonight I like rockets -4.5/thunder-1.5; jazz-8.5/pacers -2.5; celtics -1.5/raptors +2.5; stake the doubles at .8u where my singles are 1.1u. Fourfold .7u mix and match.
Lads and "ladies"Any tips for quarter betting in todays NBA games?Looking to turn $50 into $200 so I can go plow a whore
>>106319884The only first quarter I like is OKC. Spurs are getting Aldridge back which means lots of post ups and bricks. OKC one of the better first half teams and SGA has been balling lately.
>>106319980Nice will dabble. Hope to ride off momentum to catch again in 2nd if works.
>>106319884Hmm prozzies are pretty cheap in kiwi land eh?Shame we closed the border yesterday haha
>>106292652On a /cric/ note, expecting Aussie to come back hard against NZ in T20 today. Eta 1hr until start.
>>106319980Aldridge isn’t starting
>>106320165Australia is shit/doesn’t care about 2020
>>106319884There was some reddit anon that bamboozled everyone yesterday apart form nuggets game (1-6 correct) you can seek him out (he left his twitter I think on this thread) and just fade 80% of his picks
>>106320137Yeah feminism is great for producing 18yr old whores with no foresight. $180 for 30mins/$240 for an hr with stupidly hot sluts. Get them before its shredded beef. Assumed aussie will have a chip on shoulder and ur bowling was decent...us winning without williamson or guptill even firing though...slight concern.
>>106319514I will once again bet against my rapties. For them to play well they need to expend a ton of energy defending and that style of play doesn't lend itself well on a back to back against a desperate Miami team. Lowry is coming back after missing some time and this is the type of game that he usually tries to step up in. Don't see him playing well tonight so I'll fade you on that one pick. Tailling all the other as singles and doubles.
>>106303941I think the Championship is where it's at desu lads
>>106320369They have always been jaded from BBL and IPL in regards to 20/20 and I don’t think cricket Australia cares. Losing a one dayer or even worse, a test, to NZ would really provoke a response
>>106320402Damn, I just put money on them lol only 3£ but it's basically beltics ml, Braaaptors ml, packers ml, pistons +11.5, lal +9, hornets +9. 5 @40>>106320554.
No more betting on the Celtics until they get Marcus Smart back. This team is just an embarrassment.
>>106321136Can you explain why they're so bad? I don't get it, they should be motivated to bounce back after two close games
>>106321569They have 2 good players. Terrible center rotation and nobody who can create their own offense other than the 2 stars.
>>106321897>tfw I wasted my $50 NBA champion futures freebet on the Celtics @ 16
>>106310269>>1063205542/4 so far but of course I could not just stick to this so I added more bets.Im not playing with alot though
>>106321897Disgusting. Gonna Blacklist them, I thought against shitty hawks they'd be able to do something
Fuck Minnesota for blowing the cover in overtime.
What was that pacers game? The gsw just kept bull rushing and dunking through center no defence, literally all pts were made like that. Are they that stupid?
All 3 of my player props got in foul trouble Fucking cursed
last $4what should i bet ongot $3 on nepalese soccer
For today:Milan to win 1.45Leicester to advance 1.45
>>106321970not great but hello based usa poster
AC Milan to win 1.47Leicester to win 1.6Brema-eint.Frankfurt Frankfurt to win 1.86Sevilla-barca SEVILLA will win at least one half 1.93Wolfsburg-hertha wolfsburg to win 1.75Lille-strasbourg lille to win 1.85
Brugge's 4 best players out with Covid (Vanaken, Lang, De Ketelaere and Mignolet)Still think they can do it though
>>106328988well yeah, we still have Mata, Vormer and Dost to pick up the slack
>>106329116>weWhat position do you play in the squad?
>>106329138water boy and jockstrap collecting and washing
if brugge don't qualify tonight I am fucked
>>106328291What do you know of Maccabi? Are they crippled or is coach resting players thinking there is no chance to qualify?I agree shaktar is stronger but with 2 away goals they no longer need the win and can relax.Shaktar odd shot up from 1.65 to 2.00 so atm bookie knows something we dont. Best wait for lineups.
Nobody has anything to say... Just quick thoughtsLeverkusen needs to win to qualify..@1.62 first keeper is out thou. This game is typically that could end in overs but bookie expect that and the price is busted. YB seems to be on an unbeaten run. Thoughts on this? Leverkusen win a good bet? PSV needs to win by 2 goals v Olympiakos to QF. don't know about their lineups. PSV over 1.5 @1.83 should be the bet. Any thoughts? Shakthar >>106330193 there's many examples of teams winning both legs just cause they can, if that will be the case i dunno, but it's true that you don't wanna bet on a team to win if they don't need to, cause if it's 1-1 min 90 and you see them sitting on the ball you wanna shoot yourself, but otherwise Shakthar @1.93 should be a good bet? Quality on their sideClub Brugge - Dinamo KyevShould be a home win, but they qualify with a 0-0, Dinamo knows this and will push, so anything can happen here Milan can qualify with 0-0, 1-1Leicester can go into extra time at 0-0 but still expected to break them onceAjax - Lille French ngubus need to score twice, could be goals Arsenal - Benfica >>106319438Benfica needs to score, maybe they doNapoli needs to score twice without conceiding No lineups yet, but still nobody providing info on their teams ffs....
>not one mention of Molde-HoffenheimLike I said last week, overs in this game is THE bet of the day, even with the higher goal line of over 3.5 with BTTS @1.65+ also being massive value. Not a big xG fan but 3-3 was actually lower than xG suggested. Bigger overs markets are a great bet too, it could get ridiculous if one team is chasing the tie. Both teams play with the philosophy that the best way to defend a lead is by attacking and making it as big as possible.Rangers SW @1.7+ now is a very close second for THE bet of the day. 4-3 was not a fair reflection of the game at all, that score flattered Antwerp. Rangers were just below evens IIRC for the away leg so 1.7 for the home leg is big, especially now that we know they're a far superior team.>>1063301932 away goals is nowhere near a relaxing lead, even though Shakhtar are much better. Without researching possible lineups for all teams, I can tell you that the only teams likely to willingly rest more than a handful of regulars are Man U/Sociedad.
>>106330193the game will be played in Kiev. weather will be harsh on Maccabi, they are not used to below freezing temperature. and there will ukrainian fans at the stadium. Maccabi said they will try their best today, but so did Shakhtar.imo if Maccabi didn't manage to score at home, I don't think they will today.and regarding the odds rising, same thing happened last game. Shakhtar's odds were 1.7 and rose up to 2.3 before the game.
>>106328130Mignolet negative in his second covid test, he can play tonight.
>>106331330>PSV over 1.5 @1.83 should be the bet. Any thoughts?I'd want over evens. 4-2 paints such an inaccurate picture of what the first leg was like. Olympiakos will put in THE bus parking performance of the night desu, I can't say how effective it will be but I will be surprised to see PSV score 3+ (so over 1.5 being a fair line).Brugge will not settle for defending the lead. They're still a better side despite their absences so -0.25 @1.8+ appeals to me. I was on the BTTS and overs last game in-play and I think overs will be good at some point here again. Over 2 currently @1.63 so I will have some on in-play when it reaches 1.7+ and probably a MEDIUM once/if over 1.75 gets to @1.7+ too.I've got no strong opinions on other games beyond Brugge + overs/Molde overs + BTTS and Rangers. Prices look fair for others unless there are some major lineup news.
>>106330193>but with 2 away goals they no longer need the win and can relax.Nah mate, they're coached by Luís Castro. He'll want his team to keep their competitiveness. That's just how Portuguese managers work. See Mourinho yesterday. Round had already been decided but Tottenham went hard on the wolf dudes.This also applies to Roma-Braga. Paulo Fonseca won't let his team go easy on his former club. But this one's riskier because the Roma players could start thinking about the Milan match next weekend, and Braga has good players in attack.
Going for Rangers and Leicester to win @2.5. Looks like free money.
>>106331421>>106331546That's it, bro. Keep spitting hard truths. This group needs informed opinions and detailed predictions, not hobo accas. If i wanna tail an acca with all the favourites winning, i can go down at the bookies shop and tail one of the guys there. I'm not at home thou, couldn't 'study' the games, cause if i could, trust me, i'd have a prediction for every single one of these games tonight. If you're a talented kid you got opinions and predictions, that's what this group needs. And what I mean by that is saying why a team should be better in this fixture, not horseshit statistics "aaah they scored 8 goals in their last 9 games on the road", that's for reddit. Cheers bro. And everybody else, who is reading this, remember "if you got opinions you are our best friend, if not, you're a bi-atch" I'm out. Tonight we can rape the bookies for good. Second leg. We know what the teams aim for. This is the real shit, right here. Europa League. Round of 32, return leg. Let's fucking gooo
I made 24 different combi bets
I agree with anon who mentions Hoffenheim-Molde.Either one can bet on Hoffenheim, if they are gonna show up with the team that beat Bremen 4-0, with Kramaric in squad etc, considering how lucky molde was to draw--but the safest thing is to bet on over 1.5 goals.Odds arent great, but its the kind of thing you could bet big on.I dont really like any other europa league game, also because who knows what tactics and strats might be used in second leg.If I wanted higher odds I think maybe Hoffenheim to score over 2.5 is good.
>>106331330>Nobody has anything to say...Because this is EL, this is 2nd leg and despite 15 games nothing seems a clear good bet.Nothing here is like city yesterday which literally was a "put your house on it" bet.Not touching anything here without lineups.Only confident on Milan and only "value" on Man U. Rest is more or less playing darts.>BenficaAre in the middle of a crisis but arse are a crappy team too that nobody can trust to reliably win any game so I only believe in 1X @1.25 and at that odd is not a good bet for the risk.>>106331593>Luís CastroAnother meme coach. You obviously were not here last EL when we all just needed shaktar to score 1 goal and they clearly got payed to lose 5-0 to Inter.
Okay I'm looking at:Molde Hoffenheim over 2.5 goalsRangers or draw double chanceAC Milan MLTriple gets you 2.2 odds. Is this the official /bet/ approved play?
How the heck could all 3 Dutchanons disappear simoultaneously.Wanted to know if Graafschap@1.35 is worth it as a kicker-game on an acca.
>>106332289Actually scratch that doesn't make sense to go for over 2.5 and not BTTS, seems more value in over 1.5 team goals for Hoffenheim or just BTTS over 2.5.
>>106332289>Is this the official /bet/ approved play?Yes, which means you will lose all your money.
>>106331950Holy shit are you a drunk wizzard rolling dice or do these actually work out once in a while?
>>106332449I played those last night while being high on painkillers.
>>106332289>Is this the official /bet/ approved play?No. Switch Milan with Brugge, forget about over 2.5/BTTS/team goals in Hoffenheim game and stick with over 3.5, and change Rangers DC to Win. Stake them as singles and remember to bet big (actually no more than a MEDIUM).>>106331972>safest thing is to bet on over 1.5 goals.I mean this in the nicest possible way but please kys my man. No such thing as a safe bet, only different levels of value.>>106331848Even though you're a complete schizo who is somehow STILL employed at the factory despite never turning up for your shifts, you've made a VERY good post here.
>>106332587I mean this in the nicest possible way, but please learn to read."the safest" does not mean "safe".
Over 1.75 in the Breidablik-IBV game @1.75+ is the best bet you will see all day (until I have confirmed lineups for a couple games later on). Ignore the incorrect rball stats. MARGE stake.
>>106332659Would love to hear how over 1.5 is a 'safer' bet than over 0.5
>>106332587What's the difference in going for over 3.5 @1.8 vs BTTS and over 2.5 for the same price? A 4-0 seems a lot less likely than a 3-1 or 2-1 game. For Rangers, don't they qualify if they tie? That seems very risky for odds that are not that great. Obviously you're right about the parlay, I think I'm looking for something like man city yesterday where you can go large on something near even odds.
>>106332718Over 0.5 is apparently so safe it is not available to even bet.Please stop quibbling, it's embarassing.>this is the safest road in the country>akshually i know there was a person who died there i saw it on the news so its not safe>but its still the safest road>what about this random patch of grass that nobody have ever driven? nobody ever died there
>>106332790>Over 0.5 is apparently so safe it is not available to even bet.Well that's because you're a one-bookie mong. That's the embarrassing thing.>>106332783Well, a 3-1 would still be a win for o3.5. 4-0 more likely than 2-1 for me. Over 2.5/BTTS still a great bet so I don't want to dissuade you from that. Rangers don't *need* the win of course, but they're not going to go out there and settle for a draw. This misplaced belief does explain why their odds are bigger than they should be, market is wrong on this.
>>106331421I reckon you're right mate. How high of a stake would you go for btts and o3.5?
Down 20, up 12, down 10 again up 8,5, down 25, down 5, down 10, up 14.What's the point even, I'm not cut out for this
>>106332790>arguing with a*glos againRule 1 of /bet/>every brit is a bookieRule 2 of /bet/>brits get no replies>this benfica lineupYeah they are not winning this, unless David Luiz scores an own goal out of love for the former team.
>>106332903>>106331445Thoughts on Shakhtar overs and win? Seems like playing the first 11>>106332587I was sick, mate. *cough*
>>106333021Got it shakthi sw 2 3 4Straight gut feeling. Home team quality, ukrainian cold, jews need to attack, could happen
Alright lads, after Arsenal wins I'm putting parlay money on either Brugge, Leverkusen or Milan.I want an autist Anon to convince me which pick is best.
>>106333256>Brugge, Leverkusen or Milan.All suck, desu. Go for Donezk
Literally free money
>>106332984>>106333256Arsenal it is
>>106333021>>106333238I just went with Shakhtar ML man, I'm not confident enough for overs.good luck lads, let's make some money today
Im just going with Milan+leicester for todayFree money desu
>>106334059>MilanAre you sure about that?
>>106334076Ofc im not 100% sure. This is betting.
>>106334251Wait? There's a risk that I lose my money?
>Villa is losingFUCK
>decide to live bet because idk, this is EL>ajax, salzburg, rangers have already scored
What is it about Molde that is so difficult for Hoffenheim?They are not suppposed to be a good team, they shouldnt be even really much different from Werder Bremen.
>>106334059Ok mate I'll follow you on that
>no one to tip over 0.5 fhgShould have paid for fhglad's premium service
feel like making a fun on salzburg qualify at benulties @16
i got O 2.5 goals in the rangers game and redbull, how fucked am i?
>>106334323Wait, you weren't betting on ayax and rangers? Hahahaha
Waited a bit, gonna go Arse, Hoffenheim, Salzubrg, Ajax, Rangers, Shaktar and Napoli in a combo
>>106334570I'm so sorry for you
>>106334550I was thinking about betting pre-games ajax, rangers, maybe salzburg, also shakthari did not and choose to live betgoals already scored so i did not betgood to see antwerp scoring, i feel less bad about it
>>106334524Shactar-Tell aviv has decent odds
>>106334588dunno, we'll see
>>106334608Yeah, only game i got goals
Hoffen must score so every game is draw HTGIVE ME equilibrium
CAM ON AJAX AND LILLESCORE SAM GOALS FACKING BUMS
F to the people who bet more than 3,5+ in the Hoffenheim game
>>106334937Vel was right, every brit flag apart from (tt tennis) is a bookie. Although there's still time
Rangers 1-1 at half time to win @ 2.20 currentlyRangers always play better in the second half, Antwerp need 2 goals but I reckon Rangers will look to dominate the second half.
>>106335019Stfu bookie scum
It's fucking impossible to follow all these games at onceNapoli to get 2 more goals @3.253 more @8.50They need 3 goals to qf.... Went running to the lockers... It's all or nothing
last 15 minutes of fh didn't look good bros. Shakhtar looks complacent and Maccabi got confident.
Hoffenheim needs to score at least 1 goal or I am fucked.
>>106335198We are not falling for your dirty tricks bookie!
>>106335198Reverse bookied to sucker us in next time, nice
>>106334997Vel has beef with Salty for as long as i remember, since they were both posting screencaps of each other's losing tips to prove who is less profitable
>no 2nd goal @5 in molde gameWEW
I need 1 goal in Hoffenheim and 2 goals in the Tel Aviv game
Why is Rangers-Antwerp such a hazeycrazemaze?
Oh no no no aresnal Bros
attempted a memebet on no more goal in naples, hoffenhaim and salzburg game @200, blocked repeatdly by changing, if it pass, FUCKunlikely but muh odds >>106335403
>>106335478changing odds*>please bet again>oops odds have changed>
I love penalties!
have huge sums on over 4.5 come on arse
My bet today is Milan and Man U to win @3.00Not a fan of pioli rotation but this milan team is enough for a win.Man U @2 is too high imo. They rest some yes but still field a solid team and Sociedad rests even more players. Manure has more than enough team for a minimum services win at least.
>ajaxplease ajax dont fuck me please score a goal
Considering Molde@1.35, its quite generous for just having to hold another 10.But its kinda meh at the same time.
>>106331421I'm starting to understand why you don't like mainstream shit.
The last digit of my post is how many goals I will be on Leicester scoring.
I just put 100% bankroll on under 1.5 in Hoffenheim game. Tell me it's all gonna be okay please.
thank you ajaxtoday i kneel to dutch men
Hoffenheim lmaoBased vikings
>>106335019well well wellreminder to ALWAYS trust british tips
>>106336095Hey man it's gonna be alright, not your broll but don't worry you'll be OK when you wake up
Literally the only result that fucks me>BTTS fucked>Over 2.5 fucked>Under 1.5 from fucking 89' fuckedI'm done for a while lads need to learn some discipline.
>benfica chokes 5 min before the endTheir spirits are crushed. Maybe a meme bet on benfica choking sunday is in order.
Personally i'm next onLeverkusen win & score 2 3 4PSV qualify & score 2 3 4
made a bet with the last money remaining after a shitty 2 daysalmost lost everything
Bros... I need a man united winthey wont troll this game even though they're 4-0 up will they?
>>106331950Update. Hoffenheim fucked me hard but 11 bets are still active.I could cash out for 80€ (my bets costed me 30€)
>>106336667Betting money on a clown team...Good luck
The funny thing was my over 1.5 prediction still held true with 0 Hoffenheim goals KEK.Maybe I will have to become a Molde fan.Inconcievably based.
>>106336732I need Milan wins BTTS & Brugge wins BTTS to win 1k
>>106336732Oh and I also won one bet so far
Believing in Blackhawks and Michigan State today wish me luck
Good evening so far>Rangers win and Arse win GREEN>Shakhtar win GREEN>Napoli 1 & +2.5G GREEN>Leverkusen-YB BTTS and Hoffenheim-Molde 1 & +2.5G RED :(Shame about Hoffenheim. Still got a parlay on Leicester and Milan wining, but I've already made profit today.
>>106336732Do keep us posted please.I am quite curious if your "throw shit at the wall and see if it sticks" strategy works.
>>106335019So bro, was i right when i predicted you're gonna piss all your money on Bangladesh overs and relapse on mainstream "shite", or was i right?
>>106336667>missed penreback, god is with you
>>106337014Thanks >>106337058I'll give you an update once the games are over or I cashed out
Those 3 bets are the interesting ones
UhmCan someone score some fackin goals?
just betted on red star for fun holy shit fucking based farmer club
Guess Ill try a low amount live on ManU-Sociedad BTTS @2,15
>>106335369>there is only one Brit on the boardThat wasn't me, my friend.
>>106337508Should be a bit better odds at half time.I’ll join you
milan and leicter would win right?or should i cash out
>>106337571Meant to reply to >>106337071
>>106337587>milan and leicter would win right?It's very likely.
PSV already up 1-0 and I see BTTS live is @1.80 so Ill try some on that too
More goals would be nice.
what to bet on at half time?
>>106337694BTTS in the 0-0 matchesI’ll just take Man U Sociedad
Put on some more live on BTTS in PSV game and a cheeky livebet on Kyiev to win 0-1@6
>>106337694i'm already on leverkusen... not watching the game, but you can see Alario and other of their best players are on the bench, return leg was 3-0 for YB at half-time, then scored 3 after the break; neverkusen needs any kind of win to qf, so i reckon they can win, which is now 1.90... or just play it safe , to score 1 goal 1.38.. your calli think milan will also score again, also 1.38 . watched the game.. seem better quality-wise, i think they will win matter of fact. you decide
does this have a chance to win
just lost a grandwhat do i tell my kid, he wanted a ps5
Just fucking shoot me...
>>106338151>Boys just scored
>>106338170Tell him to play outside
>>106338122fucking hell, kusen
LEICESTER ARE YOU OKARE YOU OK LEICESTER
come the FUCK on dude what a horrible day to bet.. are there any sure ones to make up for my disastrous choices? fucking yuro league
Manu please shot a goal
I made these bets during the halftime, if Belgrad wins and Manu/Socie don't draw I'll win big
>>106338363Whoomp there it is.Now Sociedad equaliser
i need O 3.5 goals in the olympiakos match, anybody watching it?
Goal might not count
It doesn't count
Kek, knew Leicester @1.9 was too good to be true
Zzzzzz These matches are boring today
Come on Belgrad, one goal!
Starting to second guess my thooughts on these bttswill olympiakos really go from 4 goals to 0 in the second leg.has psv suddenly become a bastion of defense.
>>106338768I'm more surprised that Leverkusen - Boys is such a defensive game. How do you go from 4-3 to 0-1
How are the odds calculated for a team? do they use a computer algorithm ?
>>106338852>do they use a computer algorithm ?No there's a secret bookie HQ under the north pole where thousands of Chinese kids calculate the odds with an abacus
>>106337156I should have cashed those out. Well fuck
I cashed my remaining bets out. I turned 30€ into 84,96€
fucking milan and braga ruined my acca
>>106339147So it does work! That is winning a @3 bet pretty much.This 85 is including >>106336892 ?
>>106339212Yes >>106336892 is included. I also made a small profit with these >>106338469 about 3€ each and pic related worked out too but I got scared and cashed it out early
>>106338122Bundasliga very weak molde took out hoffenhiem earlier today. Kicking myself not betting on them earlier but cannot complain took britbong advice about over goals and those delivered along with my free bet where MGM site was having log in issues a few days ago THEY DUN GOOFED
>>106339355Yes, although I think this tactic only works best exactly in a EL round where its many games, odds are not as settled and tends to have more goals than usual. A typical farmers league round with its shitty 0-0 between small teams will do too much damage to this strategy.Its best to keep each bet as a 2-5 games parlay and not more than that or too many will get ruined on last leg. Try to get as much coverage as possible overall, even contradictory bets to hedge each other - the high odds compensate the losses. You will never half or most bets but the idea is with a good overall coverage, you get 2-3 good (not amazing, good is enough) wins that will make the overall profit as 2-3x the overall cost, like it was today.
NBA timePhilly seems pretty good value to me, I really think Dallas are frauds outside of Doncic. Simmons to continue to look to score so $4 for philly win 20+ Simmons is my main bet.
>>106339205Psv , Bruges And Leicester for me . fuck
Fuck this shit .....I was watching a fat fuck the other day talking about betting on a live stream. And he said if he'd go on 100% he'd be a millionaire. Of course he wouldn't cause he's a retard who bets accas and basically bets like a bum. But he said he isn't going at 100% cause betting makes him addicted, and you start living in a virtual world, and all you see is these games, and you become anti social, and basically all that crap. And then i was thinking... But wtf.. if not this what else? Like a savant who spends all day in his lab, same as gambler who is obssessed over his work, is a good thing , right?There's a guy who used to post his accas on a Facebook group. And this morning i see a post of his "goodbye bros" , and one guy asked why is he leaving. And he said, he isn't losing his family over betting. And i talked to him, and he said he was all day preoccupied with these games, checking livescores. And today i had the opportunity to spend some time with my family...and i did...but at some point i got on my phone checking these fucking games...and i wasn't listening...ignoring.... wasn't present.For what? I made a bunch of wrong bets, but somehow had put my largest stake in PSV to qualify @3.6 . Of all the wrong bets i was somehow ending in profit. And the game wouldn't end. I anticipated being heart broken. Oly scored. Thank you. I am free now. I love betting. But i am so fucking sad right now.....not because of the lossBecause of missing realityI almost lost my job too for watching streams. I want to be a pro gambler, but not like this. One game, once a month, and it's the same shit. But not missing out on life. Unfortunately not going 110% you might not make it.I fucked up ....but I'm not gonna quit. I'm gonna make it happen. Solution, same shit: just chill, 100k bankroll, when opportunity arrives 10k/game, retreat. That's a player. Not a penny punter stressing daily over 5 bucks up, 5 bucks downGod speed boys
>>106339652Didn’t get to watch line movement today I fancy 76ers -4.5, nets -8.5, kings +1.5, grizzlies +8.5, wizz +7.5, pelicans +8.5. Beware went 3:9 yesterday ats second day in a row cooling on nba; also like grizz ML and pelicans ML
>>106339901Yeah it’s all good I am on a down swing too, gotta ride em out
>>106339982The lines have been very trappy over the weekend Eastern conf teams seem to be giving western conf teams fits.
>>106338852Opening lines probably originate with some sort of meme power score or pythag win rate of both teams log5d against eachother. They open with low limits and watch inflow of sharp money and shift lines according to that. As the line gets sharper they increase limits.
>>106340555Checked as close to 50/50 as it gets then when the line moves it’s your job to figure out where the value lies. I’ve been trying to approach sports gambling like poker where one must learn bankroll management, understanding odds, bad beats, and value plays.
>>106340687>Checked as close to 50/50 as it gets then when the line moves it’s your job to figure out where the value liesI dont know what this means but I assume youre talking about chasing steam, which is fine but at least have a reason for doing it.
Also the over in Brooklyn/Orlando looks great
Someone tail me on this...Pittsburgh penguins play the Washington capitals tonight, it’s black history night for the capitals and they have to wear these horrible end racism we love blacks jerseys for warmups. There all white guys how demoralizing.. go in a few units on the penguins boys you won’t be disappointed
>>106339763>There's a guy who used to post his accas on a Facebook group. And this morning i see a post of his "goodbye bros" , and one guy asked why is he leaving. And he said, he isn't losing his family over betting. And i talked to him, and he said he was all day preoccupied with these games, checking livescores.Sounds like a guy who lost his shirt and is making a bullshit excuse for being a degenerate loser
>>106340810All overs with nets look good tbf, can't remember last time they hit under. >>106339982Absolutely got ass blasted by putting 3U on pacers and Lakers game over, will take break maybe just tail a couple bets at v low steaks
>>106339763>5 bucks down 5 bucks up Well said, I'm abit gutted on Tuesday when nazio and bayern played, I knew your 3.5 bayern bet was a sure hit, at sick odds of @6, parlay it with an obvious bay win and its @11..and I only placed a fiver without the obvious bayern win.. This was that one opportunity to go up >>106312688This one aswell, Umbert was at @11,I caught him at @8 but placed a small order with a hedge so really not much. Umbert was a @1.2 favourite at the start of the pregame and didn't look bad at all. Honestly it's these bets that make me more sad, the ones that bookie miss or fuck themselves over with live odds.
>>106340810>bet the over>game starts 1-11Fuck me dead why does it always have to be an uphill battle
>>106341068Ok, but the guy is betting accas so long that he has to take a picture of the whole table to fit in the slip. He won on Christmas 2 consecutive crazy accas and won ~1.000 € , but haven't seen him win another slip since. So these guys win every now and then, and they're kings of the world at the time, but they're also constantly traumatized by losing one game and missing out on a big payout. So the higher the highs, the lower the lows. Like one my coworkers who called me today saying he could have won ~3.000 € if some team from french ligue 2 france would have won, and it ended 0-0, last game on his acca too. Says he's gonna show me the slip tomorrow, and i could post it here for proof, thou i don't wanna photograph the guy's losing ticket, know I'm saying. So i trust these guys have mental breakdowns. And i also believe that guy was probably neglecting his wife and kids for being too invested in this and constantly on the phone, and he wasn't lying, but you're also right and he was most likely also in a losing streak.
>>106341224Dude, forget about Bayern and City. It's in the past now, move on.Bros, i don't wanna be a defeatist, and i don't wanna preach about ~~the way~~ . But this is how i envision a profesional gambler/player operates: not looking for anything to bet, just chilling, and then going big when he sees an opportunity, and then knowing when to stop. Like jewbro yesterday going 500 on Man City (of course he can always print another 500 so maybe not the best example). He didn't know when to stop thou, today betting accas on EL.And being chill is essential. As our money management strategist/advisor of the group, the drug addict burger, says "feeling the vibrations" . That's hunches. You bet when you got some goooood hunch on a game. And then you go big.And the other time, just chilling in your car, smoking pot, eating 7days, doing your thing. Doing shit while making 3,4 bets per month, and winning them. Cause any betting strategy doesn't work without winning picks. But definetly not sitting every day on your phone LOOKING FOR something to bet ffsI know I repeat myself, but this is what I believe to be true, despite everybody else saying this cannot be done and bookies cannot be beaten on the long run.. We'll see
Fuck I'm glad I didn't place on any of the later games. That was a shit Europa League round boys. God bless Arsenal tho.
>>106342615Parlay (acca) bettors are losers. There are virtually no exceptions. I only mess with heavily correlating parlays or parlays that are required to obtain a significant boost. Check out this larping trust fund Jew for a good example of a parlay loser:https://www.actionnetwork.com/news/parlay-patz-charged-threatening-athletes
>>106342471Lmao same... Its gonna be close call now I reckon, really need Magicians to start doing something, ross fournier anybody, because vuceviic at one point is gonna be like fuck it why do I bother. Was thinking of playing Nets ML for early payout but 1.2 was too low for nba. Have double Knicks ml and nets 228o
>>106340810Cash out or pray for garbage time to rescue us? Think we mightve goofd up
>>106344034Yah it’s fucked
>Tfw impulse bet on Iowa
>>106344492>Tfw impulse betting is just as profitable
>>106344410Fuck... The line dropped to 218 in first quarter when they were cold. Just fuck my shit up senpai innit. Some tip I can give, I noticed this but the lines are too high at half time, under is always a smarter play. The line this time was 29 with large lead, will just cash out or hit the under big next time
>>106340837Blacks win again
>>106344771Yea it's tough to reach 55% win rate In nba, it is fun to watch when there's a bet imo. Unlike football where one early goal and your bet is already assblasted completely, or the long draw that goes into the 80'th with heart aching ref bs and near misses, and then goal comes in,burning your bet and wasting your time completely. Nba has either blowouts, tights, or comeback games, no in-betweens. You're essentially watching the same game over and over.One redditor I read is trying to feed his family through nba parlays lol, they won't be eating for a long time
>>106344911>One redditor I read is trying to feed his family through nba parlays lol, they won't be eating for a long timelmfao based
>>106339901Nice I round robined your picks, thanks bro
Blackhawks and Michigan State paid out today lets gooooo
>>106346483Hell yeah glad someone tailed. You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.
Any fellow Ausbros watching the Aleague tonight? Terrible league to bet on but fuck it, I'm hoping for a cheeky over 2.5
>>106348147Why should I tail this
>>106348445Because we're gambling
>>106348605Ok I bet on 3-3 final score
>>106344410>>106344638Lad did you try betting under at half time? I took my own advice and both nuggets and bucks hit their under from half time (226 and 256 lines, ended 221 and 254)). Yes it's not guaranteed but the line fluctuated fast to 260s for some treason for bucks. Bit dangerous for close games as chance for ot but I'll keep trying this strategy
>>106348812Ok let’s see how it goesHow often is OT? Once in ten games?The main issue is in close games they start taking fouls and going to the line
lost some of my Europa League gains on Brasileirãobookies always win at the end of the day
>>106348972Ot as you know isn't so common, I'd say once every 17 games or soYou're right about then fouling, but the problem for them is they're gassed and defending becomes easier than shooting . Think the strategy here is to play the unders for team that were initially supposed to hit the under line pre game, bucks pels were supposed to hit under 242 because of their averages. In case of dnuggets wizards were supposed to go easily on the over 238 pre game but the pace was never there, line dropping to 215 at one point aswell in 2q. As that's a 20+pt drop off under would seem a better choice, though ot was a real threat since the dumbass nugget didn't go for easy 2 when he was 3 on 1
>tfw letting enemy team come back from 7-2 down to 7-7 in csgo casual, just to decide to actually play to full ability in the last round and crush their hopes of a comeback
Good luck Bros
I removed sevilla,just in case
My bets for this weekend. Frankfurt, Wolfsburg and Betis are good value bets imho. Rennes might fuck it up, not sure.
>>106348147>please watch our league
>>106351298hello germanbro, i'm getting on the frankfurt bet, but what about the two 2. bundes liga games today?
>>106351454>Darmstadt - KarlsruheKarlsruhe should win the game but I'm not totally convinced >Regensburg-PaderbornHard to say, a draw is likely but I don't bet on draws
Would stay away from this weekend's 2 bundes Denmark.After Kawasaki won today my remaining singles are QPR@2.70, Wolfsburg@1.63, Frankfurt@1.83.Got in on Cardiff firstname.lastname@example.org+Norwich@1.45.Then I Have an acca with Watford@2.65, Real Betis@2.06 Hatayasporemail@example.com and some games I dont remember
>>106351626thanks, i'm thinking about going O 2.5 goals in the darmstadt match?
>>106351687the wolfsbruger-frankfurt as a combo sounds good too
>>106342820>You bet when you got some goooood hunch on a game. And then you go big.>And the other time, just chilling in your car, smoking pot, eating 7days, doing your thing. Doing shit while making 3,4 bets per month, and winning them. Cause any betting strategy doesn't work without winning picks. But definetly not sitting every day on your phone LOOKING FOR something to bet ffsBankroll management is key I do not recommend betting more than 10% of your bankroll on a max confidence bet. Most bets need to stay between 1-5% of your bankroll. You must have daily action or else you’ll be on the outside looking in. I pulled up my win/loss for nov/dec last year to see how much I had wagered over those two months; 11k wagered off a 1k bankroll being managed properly. This is how you start to make gains as your wins wash your losses as your mind sharpens to the game.
Guten tag, Bergamo v Spal HT, @2 bergamo to win good value? Anyone watching?
>>106340736I mentally make picks in the morning and follow the line thru the day if I see my picks that I thought were good values at the time are adding points or the spread is shrinking on a dog I like; I will lock in, especially a dog spread and ML, as the value degrades if the spread moves closer to evens. Only other scenario I chase steam is by fading the movement on questionable picks where I have no read. Any other insight into watching the line movement?
>>106352011Good post. Said it a million times before on here about bankroll management but most people just want the big bucks instantly. Lets say you are a mong staking 50% of your roll or whatever and pull off a big win. Congratulations. But if you're the type of person staking 50% of your roll in the first place, you're not going to last in the long term. I'm going to disagree on the daily action but understand this is probably just a dynamic of American sports with more frequent games. The best thing you can do as a pro is take time off, ideally certain days of the week, or even just short breaks from betting now and again. I rarely ever bet on weekends now, except for some Saturday mornings at the time of year when certain leagues are running. I've got enough years of personal data and done enough reflection to see that this is the right thing to do.
>>106353127I am still feeling out sports gambling and the psychology behind it. My state only legalized gambling in November so I have used that time to try and remember what works and does not work from years ago when I would bet w a bong on his William hill or a decade ago when I knew nothing about gambling and lost 500 dollars in a couple weeks and went back to drinking as it was cheaper. I have tried to approach it similar to a game of poker. If you are a poker player you want to be patient but you always are looking for action, value plays, and stack management. Thankfully as an American I follow soccer as well as American football and basketball with those three sports there’s always value to be had; unfortunately with instant access to any bet imaginable there must be a strict discipline to not blow your roll on that sure bet nothing is a sure bet east money in sports gambling which is why I try to emphasize bankroll management for players until they figure out the game as most are throwing darts blind.
Seems like Silva is probably back for Frankfurt, and Jovic 100% should be..
Seems like Bordeaux havent scored 5 games in a row.Facing Metz tomorrow.I'd like to summon frenchanon for consultation.
Wondering why Frankfurt-1 is @3.10
Besiktas JK - DenizlisporBesiktas JK @1.32Good deal
What's the hot weekend tip, gents?
>this many norwegians with a gambling problemYou learn something new every day
>>106354642I am responsible for all posts ^_^
SMED Molenbeek -1.5 @1.7+SMALL Over 2.75 @1.7+SMALL Afturelding over 3.5 @1.8+SMALL Throttur over 4.25 @1.9+All kicking off now, got some other potential to post in a bit.
>>106355313On molenbeek @2
So to start discussion, who do you think are the clear winners here?>Who qualifies>Who wins both legs>Who you trust to win only at home>Who is coin tossI say only Roma and Tott to win both legs, if they are competent both games ofc. Villareal just to qualify. Ajax to qualify but they will sweat for it. Arsenal might choke for unlike benfica olympiakos actually has a defense. And in the big game Manure to qualify, but just barely.
I bet on Frankfurt ml therefore they won't win tonight, lets see how it goes kek!
Have 3 bets with Frankfurt-1.LETS GO
Our Silva boy is back, so I also put a stake on Eintracht.
>>106342615So check this out. The infamous losing ticket on the last game on the acca. Dude never even heard of these teams, just makes crazy accas based on first instinct. Almost hits 1200 odds. Less than 0.1 % hit rate. Almost.
Frankfurt playing like shit since they scored, like they don't wanna win. Kek>>106355767
>>106356787Cashed out my normal Frankfurt to win at halftimme so Id be in profit no matter what happens to my Frankfurt-1 bets.Im testing a tiny livebet on Frankfurt to score next goal and Bilbao to win @10
>>106355313All but one hit, nice.
>>106356787Bremen Eintracht 2-1 kek. I am the winning streak betting ender. When I bet the streak ends lmao
>>106355624>Who qualifiesFor me Tottenham is the only certainty here. And I don't think Arsenal would allow themselves to get knocked out twice in two years by Olympiakos. The feeling of revenge will be strong.>Who wins both legsmaybe tottenham. ajax?>Who you trust to win only at homeVillarreal, Tottenham, Arsenal>Who is coin tossRoma - ShakhtarUnited - MilanSlavia - RangersFor the third game the two teams have not lost a game all season in their respective leagues. Two teams who I think could do an upset against a bigger team (Slavia already have). I favor Rangers slightly.My picks:AjaxVillarrealShakhtarArsenalTottenhamUnitedRangersGranada
>>106353592Well now you know.
Who else /massivebrain/ here?
>He doesnt bet on serie b tieslads...
NBA picks:Toronto -8 vs Houston: line hasn't moved all day. Rockets and Raptors both play small ball but Toronto just has way too much firepower for Houston to keep up.Indiana vs Boston -2.5: line opened at Boston -4 and moved to -2.5. Both teams have been struggling lately, but Boston usually plays Indiana very well. Small lean towards Boston but I'm certainly not confident in them.Sacramento -2.5 vs Detroit: line opened at -3, moved to -2 then back to -2.5. Sacramento has been really struggling lately and the pistons have pulled some big upsets recently. However Jerami Grant is coming back into the lineup after missing the last game in which they covered the spread without him. Expect him to disrupt the flow of their offense a little bit and Sacramento to cover.Phoenix vs Chicago +7: opened at -5, moved to +7. Phoenix has a tendency to play to the level of their opponents, losing to teams like Charlotte, Detroit and Memphis this year.Clippers -7.5 vs Memphis: line hasn't moved so going with the favourite to bounce back after losing to Memphis yesterday.Atlanta vs OKC +5.5: opened at Atlanta -3.5, moved to -5.5. SGA has been on a tear lately and the hawks are on of the worst teams in league at guarding opposing guards. Utah -6.5 vs Miami: opened at -5.5, moved to -6.5 but that movement is likely due to Bam being questionable. Even if he does play I like the value on this spread with the Utah has been playing. Best to get your bet in now because if Bam is announced out the spread will jump to double digits.Golden State -6 vs Charlotte: line hasn't moved all day. When they played earlier this year Charlotte won by 2 and Steph Curry didn't play. Look for Curry to have a big night and warriors to roll.
>>106356977I forgive you, but only because my @2.52 bet on V. Guimarães-Boavista hit
>>106358295Prefer pacers +2.5, grizzlies +7.5, Detroit +2.5, Charlotte +6, suns -7.5, other three games I’m with you and also like blazers +4.5 also like grizzlies ML hornets ML and thunder ML should be an interesting night.
Rolling with Lámelo Ingles and Jerami Grant point markets today. Due for a win
>>106357980literally everyone here, wtf u talkin bout
>>106357950Forgot trip. I think Mou does not like this realization, but he has to take EL more seriously by now. Will he field B team again vs zagreb? League will give him nothing and EL is becoming only chance of something decent this season. Manure-Milan draw is godsend for him for will remove a direct competitor.Shaktar is roma coach last club so he knows it too well to lose to it, if they play as they did vs braga will win easily.This arsenal I saw vs benfica did not impress me, but maybe you're right. Im hoping Milan lose just because of the pathetic way they qualified vs red star farmers with 2 shitty ties. They have also been losing form but maybe that wont matter since its a "big game".
>>106358295Too tough to predict today's games, apart from maybe clippers revenge. I'll just play some unders at half time and steal some bookie money
You guys think Armina Bielefeldfirstname.lastname@example.org is worth a bet?
>>106292652You've hear It here first.
Parlay 0.85U Pazers ml, clappers-7.5 and GSW mlMy theory is that they are all pissed and want to play ball. @5.5
Let's see if it works again ; braptors rockets U233. rockets can't shoot and game is basically hurling towards a slow grind.
>>106361262Burgerbro just sit back and enjoy the meme magic unfold. The line is already at 229, rockets only scored 4,lead almost 20, the under is a good play here. The bookies keep pricing the lines far too high at ht, even if this one goes over. Garbage time is overrated I'd say, for every game you have a crazy shootout you'll have one where you score total of 4pts in 4mins in 4q
>>106356675Got inspired by this
>>106361546What are 1x2 bets? Am noob
>>106361978It's just some bookies way of saying home | draw | away
>>106362000Ah so these are all just money line bets?
>>106361654Kek, not this time...
>>106361654Wait nvm the u233 hit, at ht it was actually 234 lol. Looks like magic worked
>>106362277Based Roll it into another one.
Which team has an winning streak today that I can end by betting on them? Kek
>>106365847Leipzig looks juicy hahahahahaha!I'm gonna think about it!