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nazio - bayern edition
>>
prev >>106219362
>>
>Musiala
>Süle right back
>Boateng
>Sane
I really hope none of you bet on Bayern.
>>
Bayern with no bench. Sule at right back


Nazis with Reina in goal

Could we see a goalfest?
>>
over 3.5 in Nazio vs Bauern?
>>
Le Giroud goal will arrive. @3,55
>>
makes sense for you to support lazio
you are ROMA after all
>>
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>>106292652
ishygddt
>>
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>>106292826
>>
bet 100 on Nazio
>>
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+0.5 Bristol @1,6 validated
>>
For me?

Atletico
Bayern

cheeky double @5.2

easy money lads
>>
>>106292652
I have this feeling this is not going to end very good for Lazio. And with not very good, I mean they will at least concede 5 goals.
>>
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>>106292991
Lmao, should have pick Bristol SW
>>
>>106292873
I love how the english show Rio Ferdinand around, like he is some kind of football legend. lmao
>>
>Tuchel is coaching Chelsea
Sorry Pathletico, Chelsea needs to eliminate PSG again.
>>
>>106292773
3+ is 1.50 ... What a joke

Sule at RB might be a big problem for their attacks. Muller is out, Gnabry is out, so Musiala it is, who is a decent player but his opponent will be Milinkovic-Savic, who is much stronger than him. >>106292755 Sane is class, but Boateng against Correa/Immobile ? Immobile to score as froggo said @2.45 might be a good shout, he takes the pen too but probably shouldn't bet on goalscorers. I can see Milinkovic scoring a header. Probably 2+ first half @2.15 I will take for starters. Bayern has no bench, but Reina in the other end. Coman can take players out, Sane can take players out. And lewa up front? I see everyone and their mum on every forum and TV show is on Lazio 1X , but to bet against Bayern? First 11 is decent, then javi Martinez comes in and they're fucked. I can't decide any other than goals, as TT said. If this isn't an over i dunno what is.

For me
2+ first half @2.15 and then live bets
>>
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Squads for the game
>>
>>106293487
my bookie has bayern score 1 in 1st half @1,9 (boosted odds) i fear a trap
>>
>>106293229
Why do you think so ?

Fuck it, I also took 2+ 3+ Lazio

2+ 3+ 4+ Bayern

Cause I also predicted a 2-4 . and I think it can happen. ....
>>
>>106293611
Take it, wtf.
>>
>>106293487
Bayern is weak. I'd be suprised if they do well tonight.
>>
>>106293611
@1.57 in mine

just fucking take it
>>
>>106293769
I did, almost took the no goals first half @3,3 too
>>
was tempted by no goals first half chelsea athletico @2,17, did not take
>>
>>106293487
>Sane is class
He's a disaster
>>
GOALALL BAYARN

Just 3 left for the joosy @6 hit

This is ucl they need as much goals as possible
>>
Bayern always delivers against shitters in the KO stages
>>
>>106294198
You remember the Arsenal games well, it seems
>>
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>did not put more on the boosted odds
VGH
>>
disgusting bayern goal
>>
>>106294236
you Benficas, your Romas, your Besiktas, your Lazios ...
>>
>>106293611
Kekkkkkk

I would've taken goals both halves but its pathetic @1.2 odds at betfair
>>
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bros should i keep it
or atletico is too risky
>>
>btts @2,2 in chelsea game
bros ?
>>
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I hope you bros were trolling when you said you'd bet on Nazio
>>
nazi bros...
>>
>some 17 year old nobody is scoring now
maybe frankfurt is actually the strongest team on earth..
>>
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free money
>>
CAM ON BAYARN JUST TWO MORE KEK
>>
Based Bayern free 1.85
>>
Placed 25£ on atm chelski draw, b365 gave me another £25 for in play. Anything interesting I could use it on?
>>
Is there really nothing better than Reina available as GK
>>
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>>106290672
>>106290772
>>
For fucks sake every goal is Lazio screwing up in an amazingly stupid manner.
>>
goall thanks for the free money
>>
Bayern took them by surprise. Second half could be different. I need 2 goals by the Nazis. A mistake I've made is thinking Bayern has no bench. They don't need it.These guys have unlimited stamina. Probably they'll put Hernandez and Roca, and Jumbo-Moting. But if they put Javi Martinez, it's over, they're not gonna be able to take another shot on target, mark my f words. You put an 80 year old man in, 0 shots on target follows. I expect Lazio to score too. Matter of fact just took them now at @1.8 . Lazio has no bench either, but a goal or 2 should get
>>
>>106295410
>>106290863

S T A T E M E N T win

Should've done what radu Romanian factory lad does and placed one at over 4.5 bayern goals @12.00
>>
Immobile keeps getting the ball 7-10m from goal and it doesnt look like taking a shot is even on his mind.
>>
>>106295410
Not me thou , it's the other gypsoid
(I only wrote this cause I know you think it's your boy, but it isn't)


Dude if nazis don't score I'm fucked, and then this >>106293741 ... Is how to break even, the post

I'm retarded
>>
Draw HT / Chelsea FT @3,6 looking good
>>
>>106295535
Are you on Bayern 4+ by any chance you crazy mf ?
>>
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>>106295644
>Not me thou
:(

Bayern love to concede so maybe, 2 will be tough
i was thinking of taking 2-1 3-1 or 4-1 but it was only @3,6
personally i only took the boosted odds and not much on it, at least it's won.
>>
>>106295705
Nah... Only on bayern 3.5o @6, bayern 4.5o @12 didn't take it but was thinking about it

Can you suggest me Chelsea in play?
>>
>>106295845
4+ for me is over 3.5 ; is not over 4 . it's how me bookie has it and I got used to it.

>Atletico - Chelsea
I watched it a few minutes, has a nice intensity. I dunno... take Chelsea to score if you want >muh minimum service. Game is played in Bucharest so no home advantage. And I already predicted Chelsea would qf, so I dunno. Your call. Literally a coin toss, but they're getting in the box and a penalty could occur??
>>
>>106296045
Bayarn M paid out, now thinking of playing athletico for juicy odds
>>
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>1-4
>>
>BTTS and +3.5G
GREEN

thanks nazis
>>
CAM ON CHELSEA
>>
>acerbi (OG)
>>
Payout is 85 if Madrid wins, 75 If draw. Fak off chelsi
>>
Only bet 40 bucks on the Bayern win, fuck
>>
For me, it's Atalanta. Their attack is confident and can you really trust Madrid to outscore them without benzema?
>>
>>106295649
covered it with a no goal, please no athletico goal
>>
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>>106292820
>>
>>106296045
Oh no no... I tried to fade you but all your predictions are on point today
>>
>>106292652
OH NO NONO
>>
this general seems to be the most schizo one on /sp/ how do you guys know what anyone else is talking about
>>
>>106297608
all me with various vpn
>>
I’m reposting my picks for the day. I have a system of scouring the internet at work in the mornings that has been doing well lately. I combine analytics with expert prognosis and cappers picks. If the stars align I make the picks. And here they are:
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trailblazers Over 235.5 (-110) 1.1 units
New York Knicks 1st Q +1/2 (-115) 1unit
Sacramento 1st Q ML (+135) .5 unit
Toronto 1st Q +1/2 (-115) 1 unit
Denver 1St Q -2 (-115) .5 unit

If anyone tails let me know, it’d make my night if you won :)
>>
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>>106297542
>>
Shouldn't have covered at 55', still positive and bookie bonus secured
Should have been more confident on bayern and giroud, immobile didn't score though

no 4-2 for romrom, sad!
>>
>won against atletico
>couldn't win against southampton
fuck you chelsea

also remind me to never bet on pathletico, fucking losers
>>
why are real underdogs?
>>
>>106298064
it's written fren
Tuchel will punish PSG for their insolence.
>>
>>106298209
6 millions wounded
away game
Chadalanta
@3 is tempting desu
>>
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>played small for bayern over 3.5, remembering Radus words
>played large for draw with chelski/atm
>didn't listen to Radus good insight that Chelsea is better in play
>no profit

Search for football W continues
>>
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any basket tips ?
>>
>>106298398
See my post earlier>>106297682
>>
>>106298460
>scouring the internet at work
Based, following blindly the pick @>2
>>
>>106297682
tailing everything.
you also mentioned New Jersey Devils ML last thread, is it off?
>>
Okay nba spread anon and nhl anon, time for you to come through
>>
>>106298398
Magicians ML and MBucks u237@3
>>
Fucking ATLETICO
La liga teams are a meme this season
Atalanta will obliterate Real
>>
>>106292755
OHNONONONONONO
>>
>>106298638
w-what if real want to show what liga truly is and exterminate chadalanta
>>
>>106298535
I'm staying away from hockey for a while. It's the same teams playing each other for like the 5th time this year so any predictions are just impossible at this point.
>>
>>106298665
y-yyes
>>
>>106298638
>Juventus
>Milan
>Lazio
Are you sure that Seria is better?
>>
>>106298535
Didn’t get to watch the spread all day for movement only have seen warriors go from -2.5 to -3.5 I’ll take knicks +3.5; magic -3.5 to -4.5 got in with magic at -3.5; clippers -12.5 now 11.5 taking wizards +12.5 before the shift also bet wizards ML good value bet. Celtics -2.5 don’t like that line taking the point total over 224.5; nuggets -6.5 taking blazers +6.5; nets -6.5 taking nets -6.5 they just swept the western conf on a week long road trip; hawks -7.5 taking hawks -7.5 cavs blow ass; 76ers -2.5 taking raptors +2.5; wiz ML blazers ML and knicks ML have value 0.4u-.5u; throw together some doubles a treble and fourfold from my single stake selections.
>>
>>106298970
Atlanta CONFIRMED
>>
>>106298975
Its not but Real has 9 injuries
>>
>>106298209
>>106298665
>>106298970
One thing about Real is they are not bums. They miss a lot of players, but still can lineup a competitive 11. This will probably be it

Courtois; Lucas Vasquez, Varane, Nacho, Mendy; Modric, Casemiro, Kroos; Asensio, Mariano, Vinicius

Or maybe he starts with Isco. Thing is, I said this game should be avoided, but I'll give my opinion. Do you think Atalanta can steamroll this 11 ? Not a rethorical question. How do you see this game playing? Cause Real has a world class GK, world class midfield, Asensio and Vinicius can take out players. And Mariano was a beast at Lyon. And it's their competition. And Atalanta? Fuck that team. Still my boys for that 0-2 against klopp's reserves, but other than that they disappointed a lot of times. Who knows, maybe they win tomorrow cause they're playing at home and could out grind real and get in front or sth, but even so crippled, I think real is a wounded dog that can still bite, still has better individual quality, and it's still CL, so maybe a free pen? This game can go either way, but personally I definetly wouldn't bet against real
>>
>>106299011
Maybe I'm being pessimistic raptors guy again but I disagree with the raps pick. They managed to survive by doubling Embiid and rotating like crazy to get out to shooters. Nurse's gimmick defenses don't usually work 2 nights in a row. Embiid will be prepared to make quicker decisions and the role players should be prepared to step up tonight. I'd take Sixers -2.5 and I like Embiid over 4.5 assists @3.3.
>>
>>106299450
I was going to omit 76ers game very tough line I never rate the raptors so I have no logical answer just the vibrations I felt.
>>
Dude, and about City. I think Vel telling you to bet on City cause they will win, is right. Borussia Mohabak(as one of my buddies wrote it) I still remember them for that 3-2 against Bayern, so they're a typical high-scoring team, who also conceides a lot. And City has a video on YouTube, why Man City doesn't conceide. Cause they're having the ball and when the opposition goes on counter they got good defenders to stop the attacks: Stones, and Ruben Dias. Pep is supposedly one of the first guys to play the CDM between the central defenders, thus playing with 3 at the back. That is Fernandinho. So the fullbacks , Cancelo RB , and Zinchenko LB can attack. If you see these guys tomorrow, go all in on City. Up front, doesn't really matter. They're all good. If you get to play for City, you're good. The only player I don't like cause he's a piece of wood is Benjamin Mendy. So hope it's Zinchenko.

I'm writing this prediction now cause I got free WiFi at work, tomorrow I'll be banned, courtesy of the jannitors. Poop is a massive chocker in CL, and if he decides to improvise sth tomorrow he will ruin us, but if he sticks to the plan, coming on 17,18? winning streaks should fuck up m'gladbach tomorrow. Cause who the fuck plays there , Plea? Who was supposedly a shitter in ligue 1 for ligue 1 standards. Difference in quality for City. I think tomorrow they will secure qualification, and really come at 100%. Thus

City overs
To score 3+ @1.99
To score 4+ @3.92

I'm out. Cheezzz
>>
>>106299824
Btts gladbach surprises big teams often. Gladbak over 1.5 ill play that too
>>
>>106299850
Alright, I mean I think the odds reflect reality. But city doesn't conceide, so I don't think gladbach gets too, but check this out

City to score 3+ in first half

Odds 9

To score 2 in first half @2.98

Second half city 2, 3 . @2.33 @6.13

What if they start strong? What if it ends in a blowout? Then you would want to be on City scoring 3 in each half, right? Again, I'm not a bookie. Would a bookie recommend the most in form team in Europe at the moment to score 3 in each half at odds 9, and 6, against a lesser opposition who comes from bundesliga? I dunno, you tell me . did I mentioned the game is on neutral ground. And city owes us some overs.

The other one, I think I convinced myself to bet on real x2 @1.68

Of course, gonna wait for the lineups first
>>
>>106300058
I'm thinking of doing city double result @1.85. Nothing spectacular but they generally get an early goal and protect the lead. Obviously in CL there's incentive to go for more goals but it's probably safer to just take this at almost even odds, maybe parlay with over 1 goal in the other CL game and call it a day.
>>
>>106300058
Hmm, this is the UCL so your crazy goals theory can work here, even me a skeptic of it played the bavaria game and knew it was a surebet.

Gladbach H2h with city scored every game except once (out of 4 games), once they scored 2. This is gladbaks first ever ro16 i believe in modern ucl. They were close to winning a very tough group (fake Madrid , Waxtep, Inter) so they'll give poop and his fatigued boys some issues as gladbach slept easily and didn't need to travel unlike Citizens
>>
Will start betting mostly singles, and less frequent.
I believe impatience in waiting for good betting objects leads to betting on garbage.
>>
>>106300192
>>106300221

Maybe should just play it safe City to win @1.33

They play on neutral ground, in Hungary. Fuck statistics from 4 years ago, dawg. It's another team. I think city is capable to score 3, question is if they will go for it ? That's my question mark. Whether poop will fuck us up . the scenario I imagine is city coming very strong to secure the qf , and gladbach to be unable to deal with their game. And if the pipe breaks, city can score the 3rd, the 4th, the 5th, the 6th.... Not even joking. They are capable
>>
>>106299450
Yeah didn’t put much thought into it today but I like philly wire to wire @$3.40. They usually start well and get run down so if they win it should be the whole game.
I also like Daniel Theis 10 points or more against Dallas, Dallas suck inside.
And I’m i sucker for punishment so I am on Terrance Ross 25+/magic win @$8.50
>>
>>106300340
They are capable yea. I think gladbak know they need 1 goal. They will be very motivated after good performances In their group. Let's not forget poop doesn't know how to win CUPs, he is a machine for leagues. It's not straightforward as bayern raping nazio is all I'm saying
>>
>>106300254
>singles
>less frequent
>patience
>no garbage

Yep, that's the recipe.

Anyways norbro, what are your thoughts for tomorrow?
>>
>>106300445
Yes, yes, that's what I say. Poop chocked every CL. the Tottenham game (first leg, when he lost 1-0) . and Lyon. But now I think they want to win CL, cause the league is in the bag, and to win CL, yoi need to advance, and if you need to advance you should get a first right step, that is tomorrow on puskas arena, first leg, should want to get an away goal, thus minimum service, but I think they could get much more if they get the first goal and gladbach panicks. I might be wrong and gladbach plays a very good game, but these are my thoughts: I think they won't be at the same level, and a trashing is likely
>>
>>106300474
Well I was thinking Atalanta, but I also thuoght Lazio or Draw, so who knows what kind of mistakes Atalanta might do to gift away the win.
Maybe its just better to bet over 1.5 goals for some of these CL and Europa league games, or not touch them at all.
I was interested in QPR or draw@1.40
>>
>>106300254
This is absolutely the case. I've lost gains in the past that would make you cringe because of impatience.
>>
Fucking Magicians, rusty af. Detroit pissers can't keep leads but damn do Disney World XI looks tired
>>
cavs and pistons both winning. just fuck my shit up senpai
>>
>>106297682
Bookies at it again, lads
>>
>>106301689
yep
>>
So my new sort of diciplined betting strategy will be.
No more than 3 sinigles bets per week.
10-20% of roll per single.
2 game acca permissible if at least one is btts or over/under goals.
>>
if the pistons loose this game im officially cursed
>>
>>106301964
They won't, they suck but magic has been awful all game. Fournier just finished and mentally cooked.

Shite night, bucks are frauding again
>>
>>106302015
lol ngl wasnt aware that the pistons are last place in the eastern conference but betted on them because i know magic are inconsistent
>>
>>106302121
They are bad but not as bad as hawks or cavs. Nba is fucking annoying to bet on, the odds are extremely shit and bookies destroy any good odds for proper teams like phoenix moons or MBucks. The issue is the divas play when they want to. Usually they want to play more after getting cucked big time the game before (like heat blowing 15pts to lal, took it out on next opponents) and Pissers lost 20pt lead half time to ChiBu, i don't know why I betted on Magicians but it was parlayed with Mfucks u236 which is dead now anyway
>>
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>>106297682
Kek, i checked reddit and you bamboozled so many redditors. Not that mad now
>>
CAM ON KNICKS YOU CAN DO IT
>>
Are the wizzes worth a bet against the clippers here? Sweet Lou is sitting which is a good thing.
Might ride the Westbrook train for it
>>
>>106302370
NBA is odd it really feels like the distribution of freethrows from the refs and only the last 2 quarters matter. But i feel like the more you mix bets from different sports /leauges in your parlay the more likely you are to make the right bet. Just dont put to many NBA games in it
>>
>>106302679
Wawiz are hot af now, beating many teams. I think they'll abit too tired for another top dog opponent. Vegas probably expects more money on wawiz especially after 4q comeback against LaL

>>106302692
Yea it's shit.i bet on it just because it kinda makes the game interesting.

Went with 100% broll on random tennis shitters, it worked before should work again. Koo ml v some Thai jew and Ebden ML v Yuki

Pick one, or parlay it like me for @2. Fukkit esketit
>>
>>106302794
They should be too tired but Westbrook can’t help himself
Westbrook triple double let’s go
>>
>inceltics
Was hoping Luka would miss that shot so we could hit the over in overtime but whatever
>>
theres no way Wizards would lose this game by 17+ rights? with Kawhi and his meme resting shit
>>
>>106303599
They should be too gassed to play for the win, as for covering by +17 it's still risky, clips will try to get sit on a huge lead in 3q come fourth quarter
>>
Blackburn vs Watford
Watford @2.30
Easy value bet.

Watford is inform winning their last three games. They're currently sitting at third tied for second, winning vs Blackburn puts them right into the promotion zone for the Prem so they have much motivating them.
Blackburn on the other hand are in terrible form losing their last four games, and sitting mid table at this point in the season gives them little to play for.

Thank me later.
>>
>>106303932
yeah Ive got all my shit into +22 and +20
hope they dont shit the bed in 4th quarter
>>
>>106303118
Fkkkkkk
1 short
>>
>>106304579
Westbrick gassed in the 4th quarter
>>
>>106304674
Yeah their rotation is too short
>>
>>106302794
The chink Koon or whatever his name won vs kwostkowaski, koon sucked cock all game, I hope atleast one you caught him at good odds @2 or @2.5

Now just need ebden to win, 100% broll looks like will be coming back to me again. Ebden should blow this Indian fucker out
>>
>>106305091
good prick bro
any other obscure tennis match to bet on
>>
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>late night /bet/
What's the hot tip, fellows
>>
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>>106300546
>Poop chocked every CL
And he will this year too, and we will laugh at him again. But it is not vs gladbach.
City will win today and qualify easily. City to win @1.35 is free money. Win + over 1.5g @1.45 free money too for I dont see just a 1-0 for city.

The question is how farther will they push this beyond winning. That its neutral ground is even better for gladback will lack the comfort of their stadium. We are seeing this round the uneven matches go into blowouts (PSG Bayern 4-1) because the stronger team with 4 away goals wants to solve quali immediately and not need the 2nd game. This is great for those who took the juicy away odds but makes the 2nd leg unbettable for that game will be a shitshow.

City likes their 1-0 every league round but here its wise to take at least a 2 away goal advantage so City -1 @1.75 is a rare case of a good handicap bet. Likely a 2-0 or 3-1 for city.
Because its CL and the game circumstances adventurous bets like city 3g @1.90/1H 2g @2.10/1H 2g for city @2.90/City -2 @3.00 are also quite possible and good for meme bets.
My meme bet today though is tott not winning @3.70
>>
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alright fuck it.
I'm already down $600 this month so if City mess this up I'm out for good.
>>
>>106306497
Free money
>>
Thinking about betting my whole bank roll on man city, talk me out of it
>>
>>106307059
>>
City to win and Real Draw no bet

thread theme https://youtu.be/woEcdqqbEVg?t=184
>>
>>106305557
Yea but don't go 100% broll like I that me the other time.

J sinner ml v bedene

Kontinen/vassslein ml v hurkac / walkow


Low odds, maybe in play bet is good idea also
>>
>>106307276
Bayern is a far less dominant team than Manchester City.
>>
>>106306497
Just slip Tottenham innit
>>
Atalanta are now favorites according to the bookies. (((They))) are making moves, not betting on this shit.
>>
>>106307847
Bayern has strong mind Flick who in one season already embarrassed Poop. Poops league tactics don't work in ucl, in Cup you need speed and heavy metal ball, you don't have 40 games you have 180mins at best to come up with something. I expect poop to be rattled
>>
Man city 2+ first half goals @$3.30 here
Follow me to the promised land.
>>
>>106307276
>>106306497
I have ManCIty in my parlay for some reason im scared but maybe the prematurely announcement that the gladbach couch will be in bvb next season will fuck shit up because last two games looked bad
>>
>>106307469
J sinner is now at @1.44, up from @1.2

He should win this unless he gets injured.
>>
>>106308501
Lets go
>>
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>>106309327
Sinner the faggot blew his low back, he is dead. In tie breaks also, small mind small body

Kontinen/vassslein ml @1.3 v hurkac / walkow and Humbert @1.2 should still hit if they don't die. The odds are super shit so maybe wait for in play
>>
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Playing these as singles and that will be my action until next midweek.
>>
>>106307276
>then looses to Koln and Mainz kek
>City is on a winning streak and on the 1st place in Premier League
>this is not Gladbach's home stadium
>Marcus Thuram might miss this one

This looks lile a City win 99.99%
>>
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>>106310035
some frog would have won 40000e if sinner won (with a 5e bet)
>>
Some player of Atalanta died, will it boost /ourguys/ ?
>>
>>106311594
Yea it's abit unlucky innit. He steam rolled the first set, then got tweaked, couldn't do shite.

Caught umbert at @8, now its at @2, fucking wild, umbert is one of the top players and he's just sloppy on this surface. The other one kontient rogier whatever they're called assed atleast
>>
Walsall-Newport County BTTS
>>
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>>106310035
>placed in play 10£@8.0 Humbert to win
>later placed 10£ @3.75 Grispoor to win


When will bookie ban me for this?
>>
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Took Atalanta x Manchester -1 @4,11
>>
>>106297682
This was me. I apologize... I was on a heater with some Reddit shit and got smoked. Holy fuck I can only laugh, I wish I was a bookie agent then at least I’d be good at something. Lads.... I-I’m sorry. :(

But you know what fuck it I’m picking again with 5 units and this time I’ll post my bets with proof. I will redeem you Jew bro
>>
>>106312847
I wasn't confident in the Sacramento pick, but damn, 42-28
>>
Atalanta to advance @ 2.45
Monchesharten +2 @ 2.06
>>
>>106306497
Why didn't you take City - 1 asian handicap for better odds?
>>
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fuck why everyone betting on atalanta... shit should i cash out ?
>>
>>106313469
bookie didn't have -1 at that time, only -1.25 and so forth.
and desu I don't want to risk it any more than that, even with this shit odds I'll be content as long as they win.
>>
>>106313873
Nah, i'm also tempted by real, maybe a livebet
>>
>>106313873
Check out RM bench...
>>
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Fuck it. I'm betting on elche 2nd half
I will never back barchoke again
>>
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Varane will either do great or fuck up again
>>
>Gladbach XI: Sommer, Elvedi, Zakaria, Ginter, Lainer, Neuhaus, Kramer, Hofmann, Bensebaini, Plea, Stindl

>Man City XI: Ederson, Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo, Gundogan, Rodri, Foden, Sterling, Jesus, Silva
>>
3,50 odds for kdb to score, why is the bookie pushing this?
>>
>>106313905
>>106314005
real madrid is missing some key players but still played good in the last two matches i guess thats my hope
>>
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>you'll never play your first game of CL as a starter and hear the anthem
>>
>>106292755
>You
>>
Currently (at least on Stake), Cardiff is available @3.05 to beat Middlesbrough the coming weekend.
>>
>unless Atalanta does something to gift the win away
>dont put a bet
>atalanta red card
>>
>
>>
>0-0 20'
IT'S OVER
>>
Played BMG MC to score 2 goals each kek and a goal scored first half kek @9
>>
took draw ht away win in both game @7,X
>>
Reminder that no successful gambler posts on 4chan.
>>
>>106315670
wrong
>>
>>106315670
wrong
>>
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>0-2
>>
i swear at this point nobody can convince me that zidane is not a fraud lmao this fucking useless retard wtf was he coaching in the halftime
>>
Excellent, just need bmg to score two goals now
>>
A late QPR goal would be wonderful
>>
what were the odds of 0-0 ?
>>
lmfao the absolute geschtalt of real madrid
>>
>>106315626
ugh, to think i almost took city to nil instead of draw ht but i feared the germans that often score
>>
@3 Madrid pre game, too good to be true
>>
NHL picks for today:
Flyers ML
Avalanche ML
@3

Rangers missing their best forward in Panarin. They really struggle to score without him and Philadelphia has a solid defense as well.

Colorado is looking to rebound from a loss, I like them in this spot as they're clearly the more talented team.

I also like the Leafs tonight but I'm waiting for lineups to confirm. If lineups are the same as last game it's a stay away. If Muzzin, Hyman, and Thornton are back I'd bet the Leafs.
>>
>>106318432
Looks like Hyman is back, but no Muzzin. Also starting the backup goalie again so I'm staying away from the Leafs.
>>
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Today nba:

New bankroll, new hope

3u (75£)on Packers ML v GSW and Jizz Lal o215. 5 for @2.96


Eskeeetit
>>
Sabonis was a clear snub for nba all star game. Highly likely he comes out with a statement game today against golden state, I imagine the pacers will use this disrespect as motivation today so they should win also. I am on sabonis 30+($4.50) 35+($13) and 25+/Indiana win ($3.75)
>>
>>106318731
Lots of good player props today. Sabonis is a good one.

Booker has been red hot and he was snubbed as well. You could try Booker 30+ and Suns win.

Then there's KAT. New head coach has said he wants to build a new offense around him, expect him to get his numbers today. I'm not sure how I would go about betting this but KAT 30+ and Twolves win would probably have some crazy odds and I think it's definitely possible with a new head coach to give the team some life.
>>
>>106318879
Hmmm good one KAT is a sneaky one I like it.
>>
Any thoughts on PSV &/or Napoli to qualify at home?
Individually both @3.5
Napoli home form very strong, 2-0 behind Granada.
PSV also 2 goals down but it was 4-2 against Olympiakos
>>
Watched nba spreads little today, been on a real heater today w footy helped make up for an abysmal 3:9 against the spread last night. Pacers went from -1.5 to -2.5 taking pacers -2.5; celtics went from -3.5 to -1.5 taking celtics -1.5; rockets moved from -2.5 to -4.5 taking rockets -4.5 over cavs; pelicans -9.5 taking Detroit +9.5; thunder line moved -2.5 to -1.5 taking thunder -1.5; heat line moved -3.5 to -2.5 taking raptors -2.5; bulls line moved -3.5 to -4.5 taking wolves +4.5; suns line moved -9.5 to -10.5 back to -9.5 taking hornets +9.5; jazz -8.5 taking jazz -8.5;
>>
>>106318879
KAT 30+/Booker 35+/Sabonis 25+ multi @$29.23
Booker 40+ @$12
KAT 25+/wolves win @$4.20
Have all been added.
Let’s go you Ballhogs!
>>
>>106319014
Any doubles or triples you feel good about? None of these spreads jump out at me.
>>
Might go MARGE on Arsenal @1.87

Benfica is under a lot of pressure from their fans and the Portuguese press. Despite the squad investment, team has been playing like garbage against farmer teams like Famalicão, Farense or Moreirense
Something seems to be off with coach Jorge Jesus. Players might be in mutiny mode.
>>
>>106319400
I always pick doubles and parlays out of my single stakes; tonight I like rockets -4.5/thunder-1.5; jazz-8.5/pacers -2.5; celtics -1.5/raptors +2.5; stake the doubles at .8u where my singles are 1.1u. Fourfold .7u mix and match.
>>
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Lads and "ladies"

Any tips for quarter betting in todays NBA games?

Looking to turn $50 into $200 so I can go plow a whore
>>
>>106319884
The only first quarter I like is OKC. Spurs are getting Aldridge back which means lots of post ups and bricks. OKC one of the better first half teams and SGA has been balling lately.
>>
>>106319980
Nice will dabble. Hope to ride off momentum to catch again in 2nd if works.
>>
>>106319884
Hmm prozzies are pretty cheap in kiwi land eh?
Shame we closed the border yesterday haha
>>
>>106292652
On a /cric/ note, expecting Aussie to come back hard against NZ in T20 today. Eta 1hr until start.
>>
>>106319980
Aldridge isn’t starting
>>
>>106320165
Australia is shit/doesn’t care about 2020
>>
>>106319884
There was some reddit anon that bamboozled everyone yesterday apart form nuggets game (1-6 correct) you can seek him out (he left his twitter I think on this thread) and just fade 80% of his picks
>>
>>106320137
Yeah feminism is great for producing 18yr old whores with no foresight. $180 for 30mins/$240 for an hr with stupidly hot sluts. Get them before its shredded beef.

Assumed aussie will have a chip on shoulder and ur bowling was decent...us winning without williamson or guptill even firing though...slight concern.
>>
>>106319514
I will once again bet against my rapties. For them to play well they need to expend a ton of energy defending and that style of play doesn't lend itself well on a back to back against a desperate Miami team. Lowry is coming back after missing some time and this is the type of game that he usually tries to step up in. Don't see him playing well tonight so I'll fade you on that one pick. Tailling all the other as singles and doubles.
>>
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>>106303941
I think the Championship is where it's at desu lads
>>
>>106320369
They have always been jaded from BBL and IPL in regards to 20/20 and I don’t think cricket Australia cares. Losing a one dayer or even worse, a test, to NZ would really provoke a response
>>
>>106320402
Damn, I just put money on them lol only 3£ but it's basically beltics ml, Braaaptors ml, packers ml, pistons +11.5, lal +9, hornets +9. 5 @40>>106320554
.
>>
No more betting on the Celtics until they get Marcus Smart back. This team is just an embarrassment.
>>
>>106321136
Can you explain why they're so bad? I don't get it, they should be motivated to bounce back after two close games
>>
>>106321569
They have 2 good players. Terrible center rotation and nobody who can create their own offense other than the 2 stars.
>>
>>106321897
>tfw I wasted my $50 NBA champion futures freebet on the Celtics @ 16
>>
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>>106310269

>>106320554
2/4 so far but of course I could not just stick to this so I added more bets.
Im not playing with alot though
>>
>>106321897
Disgusting. Gonna Blacklist them, I thought against shitty hawks they'd be able to do something
>>
Fuck Minnesota for blowing the cover in overtime.
>>
What was that pacers game? The gsw just kept bull rushing and dunking through center no defence, literally all pts were made like that. Are they that stupid?
>>
All 3 of my player props got in foul trouble
Fucking cursed
>>
last $4
what should i bet on
got $3 on nepalese soccer
>>
For today:
Milan to win 1.45
Leicester to advance 1.45
>>
>>106321970
not great but hello based usa poster
>>
AC Milan to win 1.47
Leicester to win 1.6
Brema-eint.Frankfurt Frankfurt to win 1.86
Sevilla-barca SEVILLA will win at least one half 1.93
Wolfsburg-hertha wolfsburg to win 1.75
Lille-strasbourg lille to win 1.85
>>
Brugge's 4 best players out with Covid (Vanaken, Lang, De Ketelaere and Mignolet)

Still think they can do it though
>>
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today's picks
>>
>>106328130
for real?
>>
>>106328988
well yeah, we still have Mata, Vormer and Dost to pick up the slack
>>
>>106329116
>we
What position do you play in the squad?
>>
>>106329138
water boy and jockstrap collecting and washing
>>
if brugge don't qualify tonight I am fucked
>>
>>106328291
What do you know of Maccabi? Are they crippled or is coach resting players thinking there is no chance to qualify?
I agree shaktar is stronger but with 2 away goals they no longer need the win and can relax.
Shaktar odd shot up from 1.65 to 2.00 so atm bookie knows something we dont. Best wait for lineups.
>>
Nobody has anything to say...

Just quick thoughts

Leverkusen needs to win to qualify..@1.62 first keeper is out thou. This game is typically that could end in overs but bookie expect that and the price is busted. YB seems to be on an unbeaten run. Thoughts on this? Leverkusen win a good bet?

PSV needs to win by 2 goals v Olympiakos to QF. don't know about their lineups. PSV over 1.5 @1.83 should be the bet. Any thoughts?

Shakthar >>106330193 there's many examples of teams winning both legs just cause they can, if that will be the case i dunno, but it's true that you don't wanna bet on a team to win if they don't need to, cause if it's 1-1 min 90 and you see them sitting on the ball you wanna shoot yourself, but otherwise Shakthar @1.93 should be a good bet? Quality on their side

Club Brugge - Dinamo Kyev
Should be a home win, but they qualify with a 0-0, Dinamo knows this and will push, so anything can happen here

Milan can qualify with 0-0, 1-1

Leicester can go into extra time at 0-0 but still expected to break them once

Ajax - Lille
French ngubus need to score twice, could be goals

Arsenal - Benfica >>106319438
Benfica needs to score, maybe they do

Napoli needs to score twice without conceiding

No lineups yet, but still nobody providing info on their teams ffs....
>>
>not one mention of Molde-Hoffenheim

Like I said last week, overs in this game is THE bet of the day, even with the higher goal line of over 3.5 with BTTS @1.65+ also being massive value. Not a big xG fan but 3-3 was actually lower than xG suggested. Bigger overs markets are a great bet too, it could get ridiculous if one team is chasing the tie. Both teams play with the philosophy that the best way to defend a lead is by attacking and making it as big as possible.

Rangers SW @1.7+ now is a very close second for THE bet of the day. 4-3 was not a fair reflection of the game at all, that score flattered Antwerp. Rangers were just below evens IIRC for the away leg so 1.7 for the home leg is big, especially now that we know they're a far superior team.

>>106330193
2 away goals is nowhere near a relaxing lead, even though Shakhtar are much better. Without researching possible lineups for all teams, I can tell you that the only teams likely to willingly rest more than a handful of regulars are Man U/Sociedad.
>>
>>106330193
the game will be played in Kiev. weather will be harsh on Maccabi, they are not used to below freezing temperature. and there will ukrainian fans at the stadium.
Maccabi said they will try their best today, but so did Shakhtar.
imo if Maccabi didn't manage to score at home, I don't think they will today.
and regarding the odds rising, same thing happened last game. Shakhtar's odds were 1.7 and rose up to 2.3 before the game.
>>
>>106328130
Mignolet negative in his second covid test, he can play tonight.
>>
>>106331330
>PSV over 1.5 @1.83 should be the bet. Any thoughts?

I'd want over evens. 4-2 paints such an inaccurate picture of what the first leg was like. Olympiakos will put in THE bus parking performance of the night desu, I can't say how effective it will be but I will be surprised to see PSV score 3+ (so over 1.5 being a fair line).

Brugge will not settle for defending the lead. They're still a better side despite their absences so -0.25 @1.8+ appeals to me. I was on the BTTS and overs last game in-play and I think overs will be good at some point here again. Over 2 currently @1.63 so I will have some on in-play when it reaches 1.7+ and probably a MEDIUM once/if over 1.75 gets to @1.7+ too.

I've got no strong opinions on other games beyond Brugge + overs/Molde overs + BTTS and Rangers. Prices look fair for others unless there are some major lineup news.
>>
>>106330193
>but with 2 away goals they no longer need the win and can relax.
Nah mate, they're coached by Luís Castro. He'll want his team to keep their competitiveness. That's just how Portuguese managers work. See Mourinho yesterday. Round had already been decided but Tottenham went hard on the wolf dudes.

This also applies to Roma-Braga. Paulo Fonseca won't let his team go easy on his former club. But this one's riskier because the Roma players could start thinking about the Milan match next weekend, and Braga has good players in attack.
>>
Going for Rangers and Leicester to win @2.5. Looks like free money.
>>
>>106331421
>>106331546
That's it, bro. Keep spitting hard truths. This group needs informed opinions and detailed predictions, not hobo accas. If i wanna tail an acca with all the favourites winning, i can go down at the bookies shop and tail one of the guys there. I'm not at home thou, couldn't 'study' the games, cause if i could, trust me, i'd have a prediction for every single one of these games tonight. If you're a talented kid you got opinions and predictions, that's what this group needs. And what I mean by that is saying why a team should be better in this fixture, not horseshit statistics "aaah they scored 8 goals in their last 9 games on the road", that's for reddit. Cheers bro. And everybody else, who is reading this, remember "if you got opinions you are our best friend, if not, you're a bi-atch"
I'm out. Tonight we can rape the bookies for good. Second leg. We know what the teams aim for. This is the real shit, right here. Europa League. Round of 32, return leg. Let's fucking gooo
>>
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I made 24 different combi bets
>>
I agree with anon who mentions Hoffenheim-Molde.
Either one can bet on Hoffenheim, if they are gonna show up with the team that beat Bremen 4-0, with Kramaric in squad etc, considering how lucky molde was to draw--but the safest thing is to bet on over 1.5 goals.
Odds arent great, but its the kind of thing you could bet big on.
I dont really like any other europa league game, also because who knows what tactics and strats might be used in second leg.
If I wanted higher odds I think maybe Hoffenheim to score over 2.5 is good.
>>
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>>106331330
>Nobody has anything to say...
Because this is EL, this is 2nd leg and despite 15 games nothing seems a clear good bet.
Nothing here is like city yesterday which literally was a "put your house on it" bet.
Not touching anything here without lineups.

Only confident on Milan and only "value" on Man U. Rest is more or less playing darts.
>Benfica
Are in the middle of a crisis but arse are a crappy team too that nobody can trust to reliably win any game so I only believe in 1X @1.25 and at that odd is not a good bet for the risk.

>>106331593
>Luís Castro
Another meme coach. You obviously were not here last EL when we all just needed shaktar to score 1 goal and they clearly got payed to lose 5-0 to Inter.
>>
Okay I'm looking at:
Molde Hoffenheim over 2.5 goals
Rangers or draw double chance
AC Milan ML
Triple gets you 2.2 odds. Is this the official /bet/ approved play?
>>
How the heck could all 3 Dutchanons disappear simoultaneously.
Wanted to know if Graafschap@1.35 is worth it as a kicker-game on an acca.
>>
>>106332289
Actually scratch that doesn't make sense to go for over 2.5 and not BTTS, seems more value in over 1.5 team goals for Hoffenheim or just BTTS over 2.5.
>>
>>106332289
>Is this the official /bet/ approved play?
Yes, which means you will lose all your money.
>>
>>106331950
Holy shit are you a drunk wizzard rolling dice or do these actually work out once in a while?
>>
>>106332449
I played those last night while being high on painkillers.
>>
>>106332289
>Is this the official /bet/ approved play?

No. Switch Milan with Brugge, forget about over 2.5/BTTS/team goals in Hoffenheim game and stick with over 3.5, and change Rangers DC to Win. Stake them as singles and remember to bet big (actually no more than a MEDIUM).

>>106331972
>safest thing is to bet on over 1.5 goals.

I mean this in the nicest possible way but please kys my man. No such thing as a safe bet, only different levels of value.

>>106331848
Even though you're a complete schizo who is somehow STILL employed at the factory despite never turning up for your shifts, you've made a VERY good post here.
>>
>>106332587
I mean this in the nicest possible way, but please learn to read.
"the safest" does not mean "safe".
>>
Over 1.75 in the Breidablik-IBV game @1.75+ is the best bet you will see all day (until I have confirmed lineups for a couple games later on). Ignore the incorrect rball stats. MARGE stake.
>>
>>106332659
Would love to hear how over 1.5 is a 'safer' bet than over 0.5
>>
>>106332587
What's the difference in going for over 3.5 @1.8 vs BTTS and over 2.5 for the same price? A 4-0 seems a lot less likely than a 3-1 or 2-1 game. For Rangers, don't they qualify if they tie? That seems very risky for odds that are not that great. Obviously you're right about the parlay, I think I'm looking for something like man city yesterday where you can go large on something near even odds.
>>
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>>106332718
Over 0.5 is apparently so safe it is not available to even bet.
Please stop quibbling, it's embarassing.

>this is the safest road in the country
>akshually i know there was a person who died there i saw it on the news so its not safe
>but its still the safest road
>what about this random patch of grass that nobody have ever driven? nobody ever died there
>>
>>106332790
>Over 0.5 is apparently so safe it is not available to even bet.

Well that's because you're a one-bookie mong. That's the embarrassing thing.

>>106332783
Well, a 3-1 would still be a win for o3.5. 4-0 more likely than 2-1 for me. Over 2.5/BTTS still a great bet so I don't want to dissuade you from that. Rangers don't *need* the win of course, but they're not going to go out there and settle for a draw. This misplaced belief does explain why their odds are bigger than they should be, market is wrong on this.
>>
>>106331421
I reckon you're right mate. How high of a stake would you go for btts and o3.5?
>>
Down 20, up 12, down 10 again up 8,5, down 25, down 5, down 10, up 14.
What's the point even, I'm not cut out for this
>>
>>106332790
>arguing with a*glos again

Rule 1 of /bet/
>every brit is a bookie
Rule 2 of /bet/
>brits get no replies

>this benfica lineup
Yeah they are not winning this, unless David Luiz scores an own goal out of love for the former team.
>>
>>106332903
>>106331445
Thoughts on Shakhtar overs and win? Seems like playing the first 11

>>106332587
I was sick, mate. *cough*
>>
>>106333021
Got it shakthi sw 2 3 4
Straight gut feeling. Home team quality, ukrainian cold, jews need to attack, could happen
>>
Alright lads, after Arsenal wins I'm putting parlay money on either Brugge, Leverkusen or Milan.
I want an autist Anon to convince me which pick is best.
>>
>>106333256
>Brugge, Leverkusen or Milan.
All suck, desu. Go for Donezk
>>
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Literally free money
>>
>>106332984
>>106333256
Arsenal it is
>>
>>106333021
>>106333238
I just went with Shakhtar ML man, I'm not confident enough for overs.

good luck lads, let's make some money today
>>
Im just going with Milan+leicester for today
Free money desu
>>
>>106334059
>Milan
Are you sure about that?
>>
Based rags
>>
>>106334076
Ofc im not 100% sure. This is betting.
>>
>>106334251
Wait? There's a risk that I lose my money?
>>
>Villa is losing
FUCK
>>
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>decide to live bet because idk, this is EL
>ajax, salzburg, rangers have already scored
>>
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What is it about Molde that is so difficult for Hoffenheim?
They are not suppposed to be a good team, they shouldnt be even really much different from Werder Bremen.
>>
>>106334059
Ok mate I'll follow you on that
>>
>no one to tip over 0.5 fhg
Should have paid for fhglad's premium service
>>
feel like making a fun on salzburg qualify at benulties @16
>>
i got O 2.5 goals in the rangers game and redbull, how fucked am i?
>>
>>106334323
Wait, you weren't betting on ayax and rangers? Hahahaha
>>
Waited a bit, gonna go Arse, Hoffenheim, Salzubrg, Ajax, Rangers, Shaktar and Napoli in a combo
>>
>>106334570
I'm so sorry for you
>>
>>106334550
I was thinking about betting pre-games ajax, rangers, maybe salzburg, also shakthar
i did not and choose to live bet
goals already scored so i did not bet
good to see antwerp scoring, i feel less bad about it
>>
>>106334524
Shactar-Tell aviv has decent odds
>>
>>106334588
dunno, we'll see
>>
>>106334608
Yeah, only game i got goals
>>
VILLA YEAH
>>
Hoffen must score so every game is draw HT
GIVE ME equilibrium
>>
CAM ON AJAX AND LILLE
SCORE SAM GOALS FACKING BUMS
>>
F to the people who bet more than 3,5+ in the Hoffenheim game
>>
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>>106334937
Vel was right, every brit flag apart from (tt tennis) is a bookie. Although there's still time
>>
Rangers 1-1 at half time to win @ 2.20 currently

Rangers always play better in the second half, Antwerp need 2 goals but I reckon Rangers will look to dominate the second half.
>>
>>106334997
>>106335019
Hmmm
>>
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>>106335019
Stfu bookie scum
>>
It's fucking impossible to follow all these games at once

Napoli
to get 2 more goals @3.25
3 more @8.50

They need 3 goals to qf.... Went running to the lockers... It's all or nothing
>>
last 15 minutes of fh didn't look good bros. Shakhtar looks complacent and Maccabi got confident.
>>
Hoffenheim needs to score at least 1 goal or I am fucked.
>>
>>106335019
APOLOGISE
>>
>>106335198
We are not falling for your dirty tricks bookie!
>>
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>>106335198
Reverse bookied to sucker us in next time, nice
>>
>>106335019
Based
>>
>>106335019
DOUBLE APOLOGISE
>>
>>106334997
Vel has beef with Salty for as long as i remember, since they were both posting screencaps of each other's losing tips to prove who is less profitable
>>
>no 2nd goal @5 in molde game
WEW
>>
I need 1 goal in Hoffenheim and 2 goals in the Tel Aviv game
>>
>arse
>>
Why is Rangers-Antwerp such a hazeycrazemaze?
>>
Oh no no no aresnal Bros
>>
attempted a memebet on no more goal in naples, hoffenhaim and salzburg game @200, blocked repeatdly by changing, if it pass, FUCK
unlikely but muh odds >>106335403
>>
>>106335478
changing odds*
>please bet again
>oops odds have changed
>
>>
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I love penalties!
>>
have huge sums on over 4.5 come on arse
>>
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My bet today is Milan and Man U to win @3.00

Not a fan of pioli rotation but this milan team is enough for a win.
Man U @2 is too high imo. They rest some yes but still field a solid team and Sociedad rests even more players. Manure has more than enough team for a minimum services win at least.
>>
>ajax

please ajax dont fuck me please score a goal
>>
Considering Molde@1.35, its quite generous for just having to hold another 10.
But its kinda meh at the same time.
>>
>>106335757
Prove it
>>
>>106331421
I'm starting to understand why you don't like mainstream shit.
>>
>>106335974
Do it
>>
The last digit of my post is how many goals I will be on Leicester scoring.
>>
>>106336007
AHAHAHAHHAHHA SEETHING
>>
I just put 100% bankroll on under 1.5 in Hoffenheim game. Tell me it's all gonna be okay please.
>>
>>106336077
HAHAHAHA LYING
>>
thank you ajax

today i kneel to dutch men
>>
Hoffenheim lmao
Based vikings
>>
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>>106335019
well well well

reminder to ALWAYS trust british tips
>>
>>106336095
Hey man it's gonna be alright, not your broll but don't worry you'll be OK when you wake up
>>
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>>106336095
>>
Literally the only result that fucks me
>BTTS fucked
>Over 2.5 fucked
>Under 1.5 from fucking 89' fucked
I'm done for a while lads need to learn some discipline.
>>
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>benfica chokes 5 min before the end
Their spirits are crushed. Maybe a meme bet on benfica choking sunday is in order.
>>
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>>106336095
>>
Personally i'm next on

Leverkusen win & score 2 3 4

PSV qualify & score 2 3 4
>>
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made a bet with the last money remaining after a shitty 2 days
almost lost everything
>>
Bros... I need a man united win

they wont troll this game even though they're 4-0 up will they?
>>
>>106331950
Update. Hoffenheim fucked me hard but 11 bets are still active.

I could cash out for 80€ (my bets costed me 30€)
>>
>>106336667
Betting money on a clown team...
Good luck
>>
The funny thing was my over 1.5 prediction still held true with 0 Hoffenheim goals KEK.
Maybe I will have to become a Molde fan.
Inconcievably based.
>>
>>106336732
I need Milan wins BTTS & Brugge wins BTTS to win 1k
>>
>>106336732
Oh and I also won one bet so far
>>
Believing in Blackhawks and Michigan State today wish me luck
>>
Good evening so far
>Rangers win and Arse win GREEN
>Shakhtar win GREEN
>Napoli 1 & +2.5G GREEN
>Leverkusen-YB BTTS and Hoffenheim-Molde 1 & +2.5G RED :(

Shame about Hoffenheim. Still got a parlay on Leicester and Milan wining, but I've already made profit today.
>>
>>106336892
based, congrats
>>
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>>106336732
Do keep us posted please.
I am quite curious if your "throw shit at the wall and see if it sticks" strategy works.
>>
>>106335019
So bro, was i right when i predicted you're gonna piss all your money on Bangladesh overs and relapse on mainstream "shite", or was i right?
>>
>>106336667
>missed pen
reback, god is with you
>>
>>106337014
Thanks

>>106337058
I'll give you an update once the games are over or I cashed out
>>
Those 3 bets are the interesting ones
>>
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>>106337156
>>
Uhm
Can someone score some fackin goals?
>>
>>106337299
This
>>
Belgrad noice
>>
just betted on red star for fun holy shit fucking based farmer club
>>
Guess Ill try a low amount live on ManU-Sociedad BTTS @2,15
>>
>>106335369
>there is only one Brit on the board

That wasn't me, my friend.
>>
>>106337508
Should be a bit better odds at half time.
I’ll join you
>>
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milan and leicter would win right?
or should i cash out
>>
>>106337571
Meant to reply to >>106337071
>>
>>106337587
>milan and leicter would win right?
It's very likely.
>>
PSV already up 1-0 and I see BTTS live is @1.80 so Ill try some on that too
>>
More goals would be nice.
>>
what to bet on at half time?
>>
>>106337694
BTTS in the 0-0 matches
I’ll just take Man U Sociedad
>>
Put on some more live on BTTS in PSV game and a cheeky livebet on Kyiev to win 0-1@6
>>
>>106337694
i'm already on leverkusen... not watching the game, but you can see Alario and other of their best players are on the bench, return leg was 3-0 for YB at half-time, then scored 3 after the break; neverkusen needs any kind of win to qf, so i reckon they can win, which is now 1.90... or just play it safe , to score 1 goal 1.38.. your call

i think milan will also score again, also 1.38 . watched the game.. seem better quality-wise, i think they will win matter of fact.

you decide
>>
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does this have a chance to win
>>
>>106338122
Lmao
>>
just lost a grand
what do i tell my kid, he wanted a ps5
>>
Just fucking shoot me...
>>
>>106338151
>Boys just scored
>>
>>106338170
Tell him to play outside
>>
>>106338122
fucking hell, kusen
>>
>>106338204
kdslj,vfkldjg,df
fug
>>
LEICESTER ARE YOU OK
ARE YOU OK LEICESTER
>>
Leicester Lmao
>>
come the FUCK on dude what a horrible day to bet.. are there any sure ones to make up for my disastrous choices? fucking yuro league
>>
Manu please shot a goal
>>
I made these bets during the halftime, if Belgrad wins and Manu/Socie don't draw I'll win big
>>
>>106338363
Whoomp there it is.
Now Sociedad equaliser
>>
Manu goal!
>>
i need O 3.5 goals in the olympiakos match, anybody watching it?
>>
Goal might not count
>>
It doesn't count
>>
Kek, knew Leicester @1.9 was too good to be true
>>
Zzzzzz
These matches are boring today
>>
Come on Belgrad, one goal!
>>
Starting to second guess my thooughts on these btts
will olympiakos really go from 4 goals to 0 in the second leg.
has psv suddenly become a bastion of defense.
>>
>>106338768
I'm more surprised that Leverkusen - Boys is such a defensive game. How do you go from 4-3 to 0-1
>>
Prague hahahah
>>
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How are the odds calculated for a team? do they use a computer algorithm ?
>>
Leicester...
>>
fucking Leicester
>>
>>106338852
>do they use a computer algorithm ?
No there's a secret bookie HQ under the north pole where thousands of Chinese kids calculate the odds with an abacus
>>
>>106337156
I should have cashed those out. Well fuck
>>
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BASED olympiakos
>>
I cashed my remaining bets out. I turned 30€ into 84,96€
>>
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fucking milan and braga ruined my acca
>>
>>106339147
So it does work! That is winning a @3 bet pretty much.
This 85 is including >>106336892 ?
>>
>>106339212
Yes >>106336892 is included. I also made a small profit with these >>106338469 about 3€ each and pic related worked out too but I got scared and cashed it out early
>>
>>106338122
Bundasliga very weak molde took out hoffenhiem earlier today. Kicking myself not betting on them earlier but cannot complain took britbong advice about over goals and those delivered along with my free bet where MGM site was having log in issues a few days ago THEY DUN GOOFED
>>
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>>106339355
Yes, although I think this tactic only works best exactly in a EL round where its many games, odds are not as settled and tends to have more goals than usual. A typical farmers league round with its shitty 0-0 between small teams will do too much damage to this strategy.

Its best to keep each bet as a 2-5 games parlay and not more than that or too many will get ruined on last leg. Try to get as much coverage as possible overall, even contradictory bets to hedge each other - the high odds compensate the losses. You will never half or most bets but the idea is with a good overall coverage, you get 2-3 good (not amazing, good is enough) wins that will make the overall profit as 2-3x the overall cost, like it was today.
>>
NBA time
Philly seems pretty good value to me, I really think Dallas are frauds outside of Doncic. Simmons to continue to look to score so $4 for philly win 20+ Simmons is my main bet.
>>
>>106339205
Psv , Bruges And Leicester for me . fuck
>>
Fuck this shit .....

I was watching a fat fuck the other day talking about betting on a live stream. And he said if he'd go on 100% he'd be a millionaire. Of course he wouldn't cause he's a retard who bets accas and basically bets like a bum. But he said he isn't going at 100% cause betting makes him addicted, and you start living in a virtual world, and all you see is these games, and you become anti social, and basically all that crap. And then i was thinking... But wtf.. if not this what else? Like a savant who spends all day in his lab, same as gambler who is obssessed over his work, is a good thing , right?

There's a guy who used to post his accas on a Facebook group. And this morning i see a post of his "goodbye bros" , and one guy asked why is he leaving. And he said, he isn't losing his family over betting. And i talked to him, and he said he was all day preoccupied with these games, checking livescores.

And today i had the opportunity to spend some time with my family...and i did...but at some point i got on my phone checking these fucking games...and i wasn't listening...ignoring.... wasn't present.

For what? I made a bunch of wrong bets, but somehow had put my largest stake in PSV to qualify @3.6 . Of all the wrong bets i was somehow ending in profit. And the game wouldn't end. I anticipated being heart broken. Oly scored. Thank you. I am free now. I love betting. But i am so fucking sad right now.....not because of the loss

Because of missing reality

I almost lost my job too for watching streams. I want to be a pro gambler, but not like this. One game, once a month, and it's the same shit. But not missing out on life. Unfortunately not going 110% you might not make it.

I fucked up ....but I'm not gonna quit. I'm gonna make it happen. Solution, same shit: just chill, 100k bankroll, when opportunity arrives 10k/game, retreat. That's a player. Not a penny punter stressing daily over 5 bucks up, 5 bucks down

God speed boys
>>
>>106339652
Didn’t get to watch line movement today I fancy 76ers -4.5, nets -8.5, kings +1.5, grizzlies +8.5, wizz +7.5, pelicans +8.5. Beware went 3:9 yesterday ats second day in a row cooling on nba; also like grizz ML and pelicans ML
>>
>>106339901
Yeah it’s all good I am on a down swing too, gotta ride em out
>>
>>106339982
The lines have been very trappy over the weekend Eastern conf teams seem to be giving western conf teams fits.
>>
>>106338852
Opening lines probably originate with some sort of meme power score or pythag win rate of both teams log5d against eachother. They open with low limits and watch inflow of sharp money and shift lines according to that. As the line gets sharper they increase limits.
>>
>>106340555
Checked as close to 50/50 as it gets then when the line moves it’s your job to figure out where the value lies. I’ve been trying to approach sports gambling like poker where one must learn bankroll management, understanding odds, bad beats, and value plays.
>>
>>106340687
>Checked as close to 50/50 as it gets then when the line moves it’s your job to figure out where the value lies

I dont know what this means but I assume youre talking about chasing steam, which is fine but at least have a reason for doing it.
>>
Also the over in Brooklyn/Orlando looks great
>>
Someone tail me on this...

Pittsburgh penguins play the Washington capitals tonight, it’s black history night for the capitals and they have to wear these horrible end racism we love blacks jerseys for warmups. There all white guys how demoralizing.. go in a few units on the penguins boys you won’t be disappointed
>>
>>106339763
>There's a guy who used to post his accas on a Facebook group. And this morning i see a post of his "goodbye bros" , and one guy asked why is he leaving. And he said, he isn't losing his family over betting. And i talked to him, and he said he was all day preoccupied with these games, checking livescores.
Sounds like a guy who lost his shirt and is making a bullshit excuse for being a degenerate loser
>>
>>106340810
All overs with nets look good tbf, can't remember last time they hit under. >>106339982
Absolutely got ass blasted by putting 3U on pacers and Lakers game over, will take break maybe just tail a couple bets at v low steaks
>>
>>106339763
>5 bucks down 5 bucks up

Well said, I'm abit gutted on Tuesday when nazio and bayern played, I knew your 3.5 bayern bet was a sure hit, at sick odds of @6, parlay it with an obvious bay win and its @11..and I only placed a fiver without the obvious bayern win.. This was that one opportunity to go up

>>106312688
This one aswell, Umbert was at @11,I caught him at @8 but placed a small order with a hedge so really not much. Umbert was a @1.2 favourite at the start of the pregame and didn't look bad at all. Honestly it's these bets that make me more sad, the ones that bookie miss or fuck themselves over with live odds.
>>
>>106340810
>bet the over
>game starts 1-11
Fuck me dead why does it always have to be an uphill battle
>>
>>106341068
Ok, but the guy is betting accas so long that he has to take a picture of the whole table to fit in the slip. He won on Christmas 2 consecutive crazy accas and won ~1.000 € , but haven't seen him win another slip since. So these guys win every now and then, and they're kings of the world at the time, but they're also constantly traumatized by losing one game and missing out on a big payout. So the higher the highs, the lower the lows. Like one my coworkers who called me today saying he could have won ~3.000 € if some team from french ligue 2 france would have won, and it ended 0-0, last game on his acca too. Says he's gonna show me the slip tomorrow, and i could post it here for proof, thou i don't wanna photograph the guy's losing ticket, know I'm saying. So i trust these guys have mental breakdowns. And i also believe that guy was probably neglecting his wife and kids for being too invested in this and constantly on the phone, and he wasn't lying, but you're also right and he was most likely also in a losing streak.
>>
>>106341224
Dude, forget about Bayern and City. It's in the past now, move on.

Bros, i don't wanna be a defeatist, and i don't wanna preach about ~~the way~~ . But this is how i envision a profesional gambler/player operates: not looking for anything to bet, just chilling, and then going big when he sees an opportunity, and then knowing when to stop.

Like jewbro yesterday going 500 on Man City (of course he can always print another 500 so maybe not the best example). He didn't know when to stop thou, today betting accas on EL.

And being chill is essential. As our money management strategist/advisor of the group, the drug addict burger, says "feeling the vibrations" . That's hunches. You bet when you got some goooood hunch on a game. And then you go big.

And the other time, just chilling in your car, smoking pot, eating 7days, doing your thing. Doing shit while making 3,4 bets per month, and winning them. Cause any betting strategy doesn't work without winning picks. But definetly not sitting every day on your phone LOOKING FOR something to bet ffs

I know I repeat myself, but this is what I believe to be true, despite everybody else saying this cannot be done and bookies cannot be beaten on the long run.. We'll see
>>
Fuck I'm glad I didn't place on any of the later games. That was a shit Europa League round boys. God bless Arsenal tho.
>>
>>106342615
Parlay (acca) bettors are losers. There are virtually no exceptions. I only mess with heavily correlating parlays or parlays that are required to obtain a significant boost. Check out this larping trust fund Jew for a good example of a parlay loser:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/news/parlay-patz-charged-threatening-athletes
>>
>>106342471
Lmao same... Its gonna be close call now I reckon, really need Magicians to start doing something, ross fournier anybody, because vuceviic at one point is gonna be like fuck it why do I bother. Was thinking of playing Nets ML for early payout but 1.2 was too low for nba. Have double Knicks ml and nets 228o
>>
>>106340810
Cash out or pray for garbage time to rescue us? Think we mightve goofd up
>>
>>106344034
Yah it’s fucked
>>
>Tfw impulse bet on Iowa
>>
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>>106344492
>Tfw impulse betting is just as profitable
>>
>>106344410
Fuck... The line dropped to 218 in first quarter when they were cold. Just fuck my shit up senpai innit.

Some tip I can give, I noticed this but the lines are too high at half time, under is always a smarter play. The line this time was 29 with large lead, will just cash out or hit the under big next time
>>
>>106340837
Blacks win again
>>
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>>106344771
Yea it's tough to reach 55% win rate In nba, it is fun to watch when there's a bet imo. Unlike football where one early goal and your bet is already assblasted completely, or the long draw that goes into the 80'th with heart aching ref bs and near misses, and then goal comes in,burning your bet and wasting your time completely. Nba has either blowouts, tights, or comeback games, no in-betweens. You're essentially watching the same game over and over.

One redditor I read is trying to feed his family through nba parlays lol, they won't be eating for a long time
>>
>>106344911
>One redditor I read is trying to feed his family through nba parlays lol, they won't be eating for a long time
lmfao based
>>
>>106339901
Nice I round robined your picks, thanks bro
>>
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Blackhawks and Michigan State paid out today lets gooooo
>>
>>106346483
Hell yeah glad someone tailed. You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.
>>
Any fellow Ausbros watching the Aleague tonight?
Terrible league to bet on but fuck it, I'm hoping for a cheeky over 2.5
>>
>>106348147
Why should I tail this
>>
>>106348445
Because we're gambling
>>
>>106348605
Ok I bet on 3-3 final score
>>
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>>106344410
>>106344638

Lad did you try betting under at half time? I took my own advice and both nuggets and bucks hit their under from half time (226 and 256 lines, ended 221 and 254)). Yes it's not guaranteed but the line fluctuated fast to 260s for some treason for bucks. Bit dangerous for close games as chance for ot but I'll keep trying this strategy
>>
>>106348812
Ok let’s see how it goes
How often is OT? Once in ten games?
The main issue is in close games they start taking fouls and going to the line
>>
lost some of my Europa League gains on Brasileirão

bookies always win at the end of the day
>>
>>106348972
Ot as you know isn't so common, I'd say once every 17 games or so


You're right about then fouling, but the problem for them is they're gassed and defending becomes easier than shooting .

Think the strategy here is to play the unders for team that were initially supposed to hit the under line pre game, bucks pels were supposed to hit under 242 because of their averages. In case of dnuggets wizards were supposed to go easily on the over 238 pre game but the pace was never there, line dropping to 215 at one point aswell in 2q. As that's a 20+pt drop off under would seem a better choice, though ot was a real threat since the dumbass nugget didn't go for easy 2 when he was 3 on 1
>>
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>tfw letting enemy team come back from 7-2 down to 7-7 in csgo casual, just to decide to actually play to full ability in the last round and crush their hopes of a comeback
>>
Good luck Bros
>>
I removed sevilla,just in case
>>
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My bets for this weekend.

Frankfurt, Wolfsburg and Betis are good value bets imho. Rennes might fuck it up, not sure.
>>
>>106348147
>please watch our league
>>
>>106351298
hello germanbro, i'm getting on the frankfurt bet, but what about the two 2. bundes liga games today?
>>
>>106351454
>Darmstadt - Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe should win the game but I'm not totally convinced
>Regensburg-Paderborn
Hard to say, a draw is likely but I don't bet on draws
>>
Would stay away from this weekend's 2 bundes Denmark.

After Kawasaki won today my remaining singles are QPR@2.70, Wolfsburg@1.63, Frankfurt@1.83.

Got in on Cardiff early@3.05+Norwich@1.45.

Then I Have an acca with Watford@2.65, Real Betis@2.06 Hatayaspor-1@3.20 and some games I dont remember
>>
>>106351626
thanks, i'm thinking about going O 2.5 goals in the darmstadt match?
>>
>>106351687
the wolfsbruger-frankfurt as a combo sounds good too
>>
>>106342820
>You bet when you got some goooood hunch on a game. And then you go big.
>And the other time, just chilling in your car, smoking pot, eating 7days, doing your thing. Doing shit while making 3,4 bets per month, and winning them. Cause any betting strategy doesn't work without winning picks. But definetly not sitting every day on your phone LOOKING FOR something to bet ffs

Bankroll management is key I do not recommend betting more than 10% of your bankroll on a max confidence bet. Most bets need to stay between 1-5% of your bankroll. You must have daily action or else you’ll be on the outside looking in. I pulled up my win/loss for nov/dec last year to see how much I had wagered over those two months; 11k wagered off a 1k bankroll being managed properly. This is how you start to make gains as your wins wash your losses as your mind sharpens to the game.
>>
Guten tag, Bergamo v Spal HT, @2 bergamo to win good value? Anyone watching?
>>
>>106340736
I mentally make picks in the morning and follow the line thru the day if I see my picks that I thought were good values at the time are adding points or the spread is shrinking on a dog I like; I will lock in, especially a dog spread and ML, as the value degrades if the spread moves closer to evens. Only other scenario I chase steam is by fading the movement on questionable picks where I have no read. Any other insight into watching the line movement?
>>
>>106352011
Good post. Said it a million times before on here about bankroll management but most people just want the big bucks instantly. Lets say you are a mong staking 50% of your roll or whatever and pull off a big win. Congratulations. But if you're the type of person staking 50% of your roll in the first place, you're not going to last in the long term. I'm going to disagree on the daily action but understand this is probably just a dynamic of American sports with more frequent games. The best thing you can do as a pro is take time off, ideally certain days of the week, or even just short breaks from betting now and again. I rarely ever bet on weekends now, except for some Saturday mornings at the time of year when certain leagues are running. I've got enough years of personal data and done enough reflection to see that this is the right thing to do.
>>
>>106353127
I am still feeling out sports gambling and the psychology behind it. My state only legalized gambling in November so I have used that time to try and remember what works and does not work from years ago when I would bet w a bong on his William hill or a decade ago when I knew nothing about gambling and lost 500 dollars in a couple weeks and went back to drinking as it was cheaper. I have tried to approach it similar to a game of poker. If you are a poker player you want to be patient but you always are looking for action, value plays, and stack management. Thankfully as an American I follow soccer as well as American football and basketball with those three sports there’s always value to be had; unfortunately with instant access to any bet imaginable there must be a strict discipline to not blow your roll on that sure bet nothing is a sure bet east money in sports gambling which is why I try to emphasize bankroll management for players until they figure out the game as most are throwing darts blind.





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