https://www.reuters.com/world/us/redistricting-gets-under-way-democrats-prospects-looking-brighter-2021-10-02/Oct 2 (Reuters) - When Republican-controlled states such as Texas and Florida gained U.S. House of Representative seats thanks to 2020 census data showingtheir populations are booming, it appeared Democrats were in for another bleak redistricting cycle.But the census also found that most of the nation's growth is in urban areas and among minorities. Coupled with the shift of suburban white voters toward Democrats during the presidency of Republican Donald Trump, the party's prospects for the next decade are looking less dire.Proposals for new congressional maps in Republican-controlled states such as Texas, Indiana and Georgia do not aggressively target Democratic incumbents and instead seek mostly to protect vulnerable Republicans whose suburban districts have become political battlegrounds.Meanwhile, Democrats are poised to push through their own maps in states such as New York and Illinois, where urban growth and rural decline offer a chance to eliminate Republican districts. Gains there could help countermand Republican advantages elsewhere.In most states, the power to redraw congressional district maps after the decennial U.S. Census lies with the legislature, and lawmakers often attempt to manipulate maps to benefit their own party in a practice known as gerrymandering.The stakes are high: Republicans only need to pick up five seats in 2022 elections to retake the House, which would give them effective veto power over Democratic President Joe Biden's legislative agenda.Republicans currently control the redistricting of 187 congressional seats compared with only 75 for Democrats, according to an analysis by New York University's Brennan Center for Justice. The remaining 173 seats are in states that have single districts, bipartisan control or independent redistricting commissions.
.Many Republican states already use gerrymandered maps from the last round of redistricting in 2010, after the party seized control of nearly two dozen state legislative chambers."In many parts of the country, the Republicans are already near their ceiling in terms of how many seats they can squeeze out of them," said Paul Smith, who helps oversee litigation and strategy at the nonprofit Campaign Legal Center, which advocates for fair elections.The final outcome is uncertain. More than 40 states have not yet enacted maps, and litigation challenging district lines is inevitable.'DEFENSIVE GERRYMANDER'Cities such as Austin, Texas, and Atlanta, Georgia, saw rapid growth in the last decade, much of it in minority populations who tend to vote Democratic.The demographic changes have prompted Republicans to cede some Democratic gains to focus their attention elsewhere.In Austin, for instance, previous redistricting exercises aimed to dilute the city's liberal power by mixing its voters in with those of its more conservative suburbs in a crazy quilt of districts. Austin voters make up about 75% of Travis County, which went for Biden over Trump by a 45-point margin.But suburban voters have turned sharply away from Republicans in recent years, while the 2020 census showed the city grew by more than 20%. That pushed Republican state lawmakers this week to propose a map that put much of Austin into a new overwhelmingly Democratic district to shore up Republican seats in the surrounding areas.The proposed map, which includes two new districts thanks to Texas' nation-leading population boom, would eliminate virtually every competitive district in the state, both Republican and Democratic, in order to preserve Republicans' current advantage.Under the new lines, only three of the state's 38 districts would have had a margin of less than 10 percentage points separating Trump and Biden, not counting third-party votes.
"It's a defensive gerrymander, as opposed to an offensive one," said Michael Li, a redistricting expert at the Brennan Center. "That doesn't mean it's not bad."Democrats and advocacy groups have criticized the new map for not creating districts with a majority of minority voters, who were responsible for nearly all of the state's population increase. Federal law requires certain such districts to ensure minority voters' power is not diluted."I think it was intentional and deliberate, to undercut the explosive growth in the minority population in Texas," said Democratic State Assemblyman Ron Reynolds.The office of Republican state Senator Joan Huffman, who authored the map, did not respond to a request for comment.In Georgia, a proposed map from state Senate Republicans this week endangers Democrat Lucy McBath, who occupies a former Republican district in the Atlanta suburbs.But Carolyn Bourdeaux, the only Democrat to flip a Republican House seat last year, would see her nearby district become much more Democratic, reflecting the increasingly diverse area that helped drive Biden's surprising statewide victory.DEMOCRATS ON OFFENSEDemocrats are seeking to counter any losses by going on the offense in states they govern.New York, where Democrats control redistricting for the first time in more than a century, could prove to be the cycle's biggest prize.Analysts say the legislature's Democratic super-majorities could eliminate up to five Republican seats. A bipartisan commission is tasked with producing an advisory map, but Democrats have the votes to reject it.Republicans have accused Democrats of plotting to force through a gerrymander.
Democrats also appear poised to erase at least one, and possibly two, Republican seats in Illinois. In Oregon, the Democratic majority pushed through a map this week that gives the party the advantage in five of six districts.New York State Senator Mike Gianaris, the Democrat who co-chairs the committee that would take over redistricting if the state's commission fails, said the aim was to draw the lines "fairly" to reflect demographic shifts."Just because the result will be more Democrats doesn't mean it was drawn for that purpose," he said, while acknowledging that no one "is ignorant of the national implications of what we're doing."
MAGAts BTFO'd once again.
>>Their rigging unriggable elections!! But for us!! Lolol so btfo thatllshowthem!!Oh nooOOOooo, what will we dooOOoo!?
>>938991>Proposals for new congressional maps in Republican-controlled states such as Texas, Indiana and Georgia do not aggressively target Democratic incumbents and instead seek mostly to protect vulnerable Republicans whose suburban districts have become political battlegrounds.Don't give them ideas. They're not done drawing the maps yet.
>>938991suburbs will swing back after another year of the shit biden has been pulling not to mention midterms are usually shit for the sitting president
>>939154what shit has he been pulling
>>939154All Biden has to do is remind people that Trump is the Republican party and the Republicans will actively try and murder them if he had brains.
>>938991democrat politicans and voters are mentally ill racist pigs
>>938991Title>As Republican hyper partisan gerrymandering gets under way, Democrats' prospects looking brighterReality >Proposals for new congressional maps in Republican-controlled states such as Texas, Indiana and Georgia do not aggressively target Democratic incumbents and instead seek mostly to protect vulnerable Republicans whose suburban districts have become political battlegrounds.>Meanwhile, Democrats are poised to push through their own maps in states such as New York and Illinois, where urban growth and rural decline offer a chance to eliminate Republican districts. Gains there could help countermand Republican advantages elsewhere.Every single time.
>>939300More like Republican extreme gerrymandering in 2010 stretched them thin due to Trump alliterating white suburbanites so they have to keep their extreme gerrymandering from 2010
>>939291>democrat politicans and voters are mentally ill racist pigs>voting for a candidate who personally appointed as his running mate an African-Asian personDemocrat voters who wanted a president who proves he isn't racist - except against inferior subhuman white rightists that deserve to be genocided for their thoughtcrime - prove they're more than sane: which is more than can be said for you inferior subhuman /pol/tards.
>>939494This, cry more MAGAts.
>>939494>Democrat voters who wanted a president who proves he isn't racistSo you pick the guy who wrote the 1994 crime bill? Lmao
>>939585Memory of an average democrat is worse than memory of a bird.
>>939487So you lied about what is happening now and are pivoting to something that happened 12 years ago? Okay, partisan.
>>938991>latinos are the largest growing minority group>latinos see themselves as whiteif republicans weren't so stupid they could have capitalized on this
>>939596>see themselves But you aren't, Juan
>>939596Pay attention to what is happening in Texas. They have and are.
>>939598>Pay attention to what is happening in Texas.An increasingly liberal state that will soon tip purple and then blue making the Republican party completely nationally irrelevant forever?
>>940630>regurgitating pre-packaged Democrat talking points>not knowing how Hispanic voters have been trending since 2018>and bumping his shit threadPathetic.
>>940632>regurgitating pre-packaged Democrat talking points>not knowing how Hispanic voters have been trending since 2018So why did Biden get more votes than Hillary in Texas, my dear little coper? In every election for the past 20 years Texas has shifted 2 or 3 percentage points towards further blue than the last one, it won't be long now.
>>940637>Presidential elections Abbot got more votes than Trump. Your problem is a lack of understanding of Right-wing politics in general and Texan politics specifically. Nixon-Perot-Trump camp - Northeast, Midwest. Goldwater-Bush camp - South. Nixon-Perot-Trump Republicans will always do poorly in Texas. Goldwater-Bush-Abbott Republicans will always do well. Go look up the differences (just highlight the phrase and google) and then get back to me. Unless of course you are here to trade mindless insults because you watched the latest Sam Sneeder podcast and you're all riled up and need to vent.
>>940638Why are you bringing up governors as though they matter? Fucking Massachusetts has a Republican governor, they're still a solid blue state in every other respect. I literally said national politics in my first post you illiterate ape.>Nixon-Perot-Trump Republicans will always do poorly in Texas. Goldwater-Bush-Abbott Republicans will always do well. Go look up the differences (just highlight the phrase and google) and then get back to me.None of these differences are relevant in 2021. Trump has completely changed the face of the Republican party and it's little more than his cult now. His hold is so strong that everyone knows that he's a shoe-in for the 2024 nomination should he choose to run again despite losing the last election and he's even throwing his clout around trying to get Republicans he personally dislikes primaried. Who Texans vote for as their local leaders doesn't matter, in national politics they're moving further and further away from the GOP every single election and all the trends show this, and without Texas Republicans will never win a Presidential election again.Greg Abbot also got a lower percentage of the vote in 2018 than he did in 2012, by the way - from 59% to 56%. It's almost as though Texas itself is changing despite your desperate cope.
>>940641>why are you bringing up governorsWould you like to talk about the Statehouse where democrats lost every single toss-up race and squandered millions (and Republicans picked up 4 seats)? Or maybe the Senate race which Cornyn won by 10%>None of these differences are relevant in 2021. Trump has completely changed the face of the Republican partyYes, a newfag who got into politics in 2016 would think that. As I already told you, Trump is nothing new - Perot and Nixon before him had the same platforms, messaging and agenda. >Who Texans vote for as their local leaders doesn't matterIt does, actually, because they are voting Republican. > in national politics they're moving further and further away from the GOP every single election and all the trends show thisbecause you got into politics in 2016 and dont understand that what you are seeing is the tide turning from the high-water mark of 2010. >It's almost as though Texas itself is changing despite your desperate cope.Because Abbots vote share dropped 3% in a year that Democrat turnout was super-charged? Go be new someplace else.
>>939595Why are you distorting the facts to fit your ultra partisan agenda?
>>940974Why are you bumping your thread OP?
>>940993I'll bump it just to spite you, and because it's funny that Republicans gerrymandered so hard in 2010 that they can't further rig the system in their favor for this census. Which explains why they're now resorting to a wave of new Jim Crow laws.
>>938991>But the census also found that most of the nation's growth is in urban areas and among minorities.So el ogro de las america
>>938991Both parties gerrymander you absolutely retarded fucking shill. Stop pretending your shit party is better than the other shit party. Both shitass parties engage in billions of dollars in lobbying and corruption. Republicans and Democrats are often both invested in the exact same Oligarchs, who then turn around and write laws for them to pass. Every single member of the fortune 25 has dozens of representatives in their pocket - again, split between republicans and democrats. Your choice is a fucking illusion.These same people control the media, and write your paycheck.You are not the resistance. You are part of the problem. You have no idea how obvious your shilling is, especially with the shitty smug anime girl in every fucking thread you start. When Julian Assange talks about the tabloid journalism and sensationalism in America, he is talking about worthless losers like you. Go back to fucking redit where you fucking belong you piece of human shit.Saged.
>>938991I genuinely want to know what made you associate a picture from a Japanese comic about girls with dicks with American politics
>>942142>Stop pretending your shit party is better than the other shit party. Both shitass parties engage in billions of dollars in lobbying and corruption. Republicans and Democrats are often both invested in the exact same Oligarchs, who then turn around and write laws for them to pass. Every single member of the fortune 25 has dozens of representatives in their pocket - again, split between republicans and democrats. Your choice is a fucking illusion.These same people control the media, and write your paycheck.>You are not the resistance. You are part of the problem. You have no idea how obvious your shilling is, especially with the shitty smug anime girl in every fucking thread you start. When Julian Assange talks about the tabloid journalism and sensationalism in America, he is talking about worthless losers like you. Go back to fucking redit where you fucking belong you piece of human shit.My god this post is so true>>942348Fucking npc
>>942196What comic is it? Futa is not my thing but how do you know this?
>>942142If you really believed that you'd figure out which individual politicians rake in the most bullshit money and figure out what america should be doing to get them to fuck off
>>942580>Center right and fringe right wing party are both owned by corporations.Pardon my shock.This is why you should vote for a real left wing party.
>>942580Youtube videos aren't evidence >>942612>real left wing party Then you would just have twitter commies from out of some boomer strawman cartoon sparring with Democrats over minute legislative details just like progressives tried to do with the infrastructure bill in congress within the last 2 weeks
>>942664>Youtube videos aren't evidence...Except for when they cite their sources. Let me guess, you think MSM reporting on something counts as evidence.
>>942664>Thinks twitter is realLULZ
>>940646>except Trump is visibly, publicly, retarded.
>>942692>you think MSM reporting on something counts as evidence.Yes.
>>942713Go back to redit.
>>942713>Man who agrees with everything the establishment says thinks he is part of the resistance. LMAO THE ABSOLUTE STATE OF THE MODERN "LEFT".
>>938991>Democrats' prospects looking brighterup to 200% eligible voter turn out in select precincts?
>>942756You lads literally do nothing but rehash memes and pretend like they don't sound retarded when taken seriously
>>942750Classic thedonalt refugee post.
>>942664Good god are you one special case of tard. I checked that video and it's literally just parroting shit from Opensecrets.org, which scrapes its data from government transactions that ARE REQUIRED BY LAW TO BE ACCURATE. I swear some of you stupid fucks wouldn't even be able to logically figure out why 2+2=4 without an approved™ mainstream™ source™ stamping it with a seal of approval for your cognitively impaired monkey brain. I genuinely can't tell if some of these posts are people acting intentionally stupid to make liberals look bad.
>>942757Still pushing The Big Lie?
>>943159>The Big LieListen Nazi, the Jewish control of media in a myth and due to their merits and they don't use it to push false narratives.
>>943159>Still pushing The Big Factftfy. All the better for those not like you. Good.
>>943190>>943199So you're both still pushing The Big Lie.Gotcha.
>>943348Why are you going on about Nazi anti-Semitic myths so much?
>>943380He ain't wrong though.
>>943380gdamn I'm so used to seeing fedora posts like this my eyes glass over so hard I could probably house a fish in my sockets
>>944801I'm sure there's more than enough empty space in your skull.
>>944822nice zinger old man
>>944826Oh, it's nothing special.It's simply that deep empty sound your head makes that makes it seem more impressive.
>>944843you're boring everybody honey just calm down
>>944873I think he(male), defaulted to youmad after setting himself up as a joke.
>>944874the fact that you fags feel this constant need to validate eachother like this speaks volumes bud
>>944902Dude, calm down before you rip open the stitching.
>>943380Why are deflecting?
Democrats are finally learning to play like Republicans.https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/17/illinois-democrats-redistricting-map-516135